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The best of what's new at Manifold Markets

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues160Founded4 years agoLast Issue11 days ago
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Latest Issues

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Anthropic has spent the past few months telling anyone who would listen that Claude Mythos is extremely powerful and potentially dangerous. It launched Mythos only to a small circle of trusted organizations through Project Glasswing, then b...

11 days ago
27
2

Changelog 6/9: Official World Cup Markets from @ManifoldSports, Auto-Resolution, Dashboard Revival, Updated Community Guidelines, and more

It’s my first Manifold changelog, and I’m pretty excited about it! Not only because all these things have been a WIP for a while now and it feels good to finally get them across the line, but because I’m happy to bring some brand new featur...

19 days ago
9

Forecasting Primary Day

The Golden State

When Above the Fold last covered the pretty-darn-important California primaries, Eric Swalwell had just dropped out and Tom Steyer was a heavy favorite to win the governor’s election, looking likely to advance to the...

a month ago
17

An Orderly Succession

The week after May 7th was the closest Labour has come to collapsing in on itself since winning the 2024 general election. Reform swept the English councils. Wales polled Labour third. The Greens took London boroughs.

The markets had price...

a month ago
18

Changelog 5/22: Bonuses, Blocks & Colors

Bonuses

Last week, @Genzy brought us a limited-time run of doubled unique trader bonuses! This is a great time to make new markets and recoup some of those costs. I went ahead and made a market I had been thinking about recently, and I’v...

a month ago
13

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  • stef.
  • Tod

    Prediction market enjoyer, working on Manifold

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