
The best of what's new at Manifold Markets
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 158 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||

When Above the Fold last covered the pretty-darn-important California primaries, Eric Swalwell had just dropped out and Tom Steyer was a heavy favorite to win the governor’s election, looking likely to advance to the...
The week after May 7th was the closest Labour has come to collapsing in on itself since winning the 2024 general election. Reform swept the English councils. Wales polled Labour third. The Greens took London boroughs.
The markets had price...
Last week, @Genzy brought us a limited-time run of doubled unique trader bonuses! This is a great time to make new markets and recoup some of those costs. I went ahead and made a market I had been thinking about recently, and I’v...
Yesterday, OpenAI announced that an internal general-purpose reasoning model had disproved the planar unit distance problem, a conjecture Paul Erdős posed in 1946 and reportedly mentioned in lectures for decades. The question asks: among n...
In a very dialectical spirit, I’d like to bring together two opposing take-spheres on the recent hantavirus outbreak using Manifold markets.
On one hand, most professional forecasters agree with mainstream health organizations that hantavi...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Find us at https://manifold.markets
Writes https://thebsdetector.substack.com/ and the weekly newsletter at https://news.manifold.markets/
Prediction market enjoyer, working on Manifold
Writes https://news.manifold.markets/
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