The best of what's new at Manifold Markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 171 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
Read this Newsletter
news.manifold.marketsLatest Issues
What Happens When 10,000 Agents Hear a Rumour?
On September 1st, a rumour spread on ~~Twitter~~ X that Anthropic had solved two Millennium Prize Problems. This was proven wrong, but shortly after, OpenAI deployed 10,000 agents anyway.
88 hours later, those agents had a Lean-verified pr...
Forecastra: Is this really the AGI era?
Greg Brockman declared our entry into the AGI era on September 3rd when GPT-6 Astra launched. OpenAI’s chief scientist, writing the day before, said the mechanism the company uses to monitor whether its AI is behaving as intended is “fragil...
Trump’s crypto pump & approval rating, streak refunds, widgets, charity, and cash prizes
A few weeks ago, we quietly dropped four strange-looking markets on the site with no resolution date and a leverage slider.
Some of you found them immediately. Some of you found them, and then found the bottom of the liquidity pool. Today...
Forecasting a Third Term
The 22nd Amendment was ratified in 1951 because Congress was afraid Franklin Roosevelt’s coalition would keep electing him indefinitely. Roosevelt had won four consecutive presidential elections, and after his death in 1945, the Republican...
Prize and Charity Drawings
Pat Scott here. I’m gonna talk about Manifold’s Prize and Charity drawings, where you can convert your mana into money for yourself or for charity. The latest round of drawings comes to a close midday, Manifold-time, today, so I want you to...
Key Facts
Related Newsletters
Audience Metrics
Subscribers, engagement, traffic and sponsorship for Above The Fold.
| Subscribers | Engagement | 75 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
Chart Rankings
How this newsletter ranks in the official Substack charts.
| #229 |
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Find us at https://manifold.markets
Writes https://thebsdetector.substack.com/ and the weekly newsletter at https://news.manifold.markets/
Prediction market enjoyer, working on Manifold
Writes https://news.manifold.markets/
Game Systems Designer. Studying the world's many small hows so I can answer its big whys.
Social
Frequently Asked Questions
How can I access the email archive for Above The Fold?
You can find recent issues that have been published by Above The Fold on Reletter by scrolling up to where it says Latest Issues. Tap on the link for any of the most recent emails or hit More Issues to see older ones.
How many subscribers does Above The Fold have?
To see how many people subscribe to Above The Fold, simply upgrade your Reletter account. We provide readership numbers and lots of other stats for this newsletter so you can decide if it's worth reaching out to.
How can I advertise in Above The Fold?
Newsletter advertising can be extremely effective when it's done right. Before you pitch Above The Fold as a potential sponsor or partner, make sure that you've done your research and checked its newsletter stats with Reletter.
Then, personalize one of our winning pitching templates and send it to the right person using the contact info provided.
How much does it cost to sponsor a publication like Above The Fold?
Newsletter ad rates (or CPM) vary depending on many factors, including industry, number of subscribers, open rate, ad placement and more.
To find out how much an ad will cost, contact Above The Fold using the contact information provided and ask for a copy of their media kit.
How can I find newsletters related to Above The Fold?
Scroll up to where it says Related Newsletters to see other publications like Above The Fold. You can also search our email newsletter directory to discover other newsletters that cover the topics you're interested in.
How do I contact Above The Fold?
Reletter provides this newsletter's website URL above, where you will often find their contact information. We also provide links to associated social media accounts and pitching templates so you can reach out fast.