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The best of what's new at Manifold Markets

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues168Founded5 years agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

Forecasting a Third Term

The 22nd Amendment was ratified in 1951 because Congress was afraid Franklin Roosevelt’s coalition would keep electing him indefinitely. Roosevelt had won four consecutive presidential elections, and after his death in 1945, the Republican...

6 days ago
18
1

Prize and Charity Drawings

Pat Scott here. I’m gonna talk about Manifold’s Prize and Charity drawings, where you can convert your mana into money for yourself or for charity. The latest round of drawings comes to a close midday, Manifold-time, today, so I want you to...

10 days ago
13
1

Forecasting Ithaca

This year’s hottest new film has everything. Christopher Nolan aura-farming with practical effects. A hesitantly swashbuckling Matt Damon. Incitement of culture war discourse that has somehow gotten the left enamored by hours of sword-fight...

a month ago
21

Man vs Bin

On August 13th, the people of Clacton will vote between Nigel Farage and a man in a bin helmet. Every major party refused to field a candidate, leaving the contest between the leader of Britain’s most popular party and a comedian who has no...

a month ago
19
1

The (mostly) Beautiful Game

In a somewhat dialectical spirit, I’d like to bring together two takes on whether Trump’s intervention in the Balogun red card case was legitimate or a historic breach of FIFA’s political neutrality.

On one hand, FIFA’s own disciplinary co...

a month ago
16

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  • Manifold Markets
  • stef.
  • Tod

    Prediction market enjoyer, working on Manifold

  • wasabipesto
  • Pat Scott

    Game Systems Designer. Studying the world's many small hows so I can answer its big whys.

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