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Real-time macro intelligence for decisions that move markets

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Latest Issues

The Data Caught Up: Atlas Forecasted Q2 GDP at 2.0%. The Final Estimate: 2.2%

On July 26, Atlas Analytics published our forecast for second-quarter U.S. GDP.

Our estimate: 1.95% annualized real GDP growth — effectively 2.0%.

Atlas Analytics is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work...

8 days ago
3
1

The Fed Raised Rates. It Is Also Rethinking How It Reads the Economy.

The September Decision

On September 16, the Federal Reserve raised its target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points, to 3.75%–4%. The vote was unanimous. The Fed described an economy expanding at a solid pace, supported by...

15 days ago
4
1

The Economy Is Observable Now

For most of modern economic history, measuring the economy has meant asking people what happened.

Government agencies survey households and businesses. Companies report financial results. Customs authorities record shipments. Statistical a...

22 days ago
4

Why the First GDP Number Is Only the Beginning

Source: BEA – Comparison of Revisions to Real GDP

Every quarter, economists, investors, policymakers, and journalists wait for the same number: U.S. GDP growth.

Within minutes of its release, the number is dissected. Did the economy beat...

a month ago
2

Is the Dollar Primed for a Break Out? Part II

In May, Atlas wrote that the dollar was primed for a breakout, arguing that persistent inflation would keep U.S. interest rates higher than markets expected and, in turn, support a stronger dollar.

The Federal Reserve hasn’t raised rates y...

a month ago
1

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Jake Schneider
  • Michael Eggleston

    Senior Geospatial Data Scientist at Atlas Analytics, Inc. Interested in all things computer vision, machine learning, and remote sensing. Physics PhD from Duke.

  • David Michael

    Dr. David Michael is a Technical Advisor at Atlas Analytics. David has more than 25 years of experience developing and deploying AI software and Computer Vision technology. He has a BS from Cornell University and an MS and Ph.D. from MIT.

  • Aditya Murlidharan

    Exploring the intersection of economics, finance, and public policy through data and evidence.

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