Bucharest Balance Sheet
Radu-Ioan StochitaMacro trends shaping the Romanian society. Monetary & fiscal policy scoops.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 15 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 15 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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bucharestbalancesheet.substack.comLatest Issues
Same budget, two deficits: no worries about the 7,8% Q2 deficit
The ESA deficit will cool down we just need the NRRP funds to come in.
Romania’s cash deficit fell to 2,0% of estimated annual GDP in the first half of 2026, down from 3,7% a year earlier. Eurostat’s ESA figure for Q2 2026 alone came in at...
Why Romanian drivers pay the EU’s steepest insurance hikes?
Thank you for those reaching out after the last post, I am glad to share my research with as many people as possible. I will leave today’s deck here, but if you have any questions or inquiries, drop me an e-mail.
8Oct2026 - Car insurance p...
Romania on the fiscal scale: budget execution, Jan–Aug 2026
Every month I sit down with the Finance Ministry’s budget execution data. It’s a bit like stepping on the bathroom scale after the holidays: you know roughly what’s coming, but you still hope to be surprised.
This time I got a bit of both...
The No-Government Premium : yields at 7,45
Long time no see. I started this blog warning about the market risks implied by the Social Democrats (PSD) toppling the government. Well, they succeeded in overthrowing the austerity government they seem to have forgotten they were an integ...
y/y inflation at 10,42% in June, but expect around 8,0 - 8,5% in July.
Short note
June inflation data came in and things are looking better than expected. Yearly inflation sat at 10,42%, below 10,85% the month before and more importantly below the Bloomberg consensus of 10,5%.
Inflation in Romania has been a...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Adviser to the RO Minister of Labor. Macroeconomic and legal researcher working primarily with Romanian trade unions. Bowdoin College '22 alumn & Watson Fellow.
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