Bucharest Balance Sheet
Radu-Ioan StochitaMacro trends shaping the Romanian society. Monetary & fiscal policy scoops.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 11 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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y/y inflation at 10,42% in June, but expect around 8,0 - 8,5% in July.
Short note
June inflation data came in and things are looking better than expected. Yearly inflation sat at 10,42%, below 10,85% the month before and more importantly below the Bloomberg consensus of 10,5%.
Inflation in Romania has been a...
Where are all the IT jobs?
I should probably keep an Excel sheet with all the job cuts and layoffs in the Romanian IT sector. Once prized as the gem of the East (we thought Cluj was Romania’s version of Silicon Valley), the IT sector now reached a major roadblock....
A factory closed down and a LIDL popped up - how retail kept growing while the industry stagnated
Since around 2015–2018, Romania shifted to a consumption-led growth model, fueled by wage increases and tax cuts, while industrial competitiveness stagnated. This led to a structural decoupling: consumption kept rising while industrial prod...
Tanking the economic sentiment indicator - June 2026
No functional government for more than two months.
10y yields still high up though with recent improvement since the ceasefire in Iran.
It is enough to look at Hungary and compare our 10y yields to get a sense that things are not lookin...
Unemployment, April 2026
Unemployment data came out recently and everyone seemed happy that it went down to 6,3%. Great news for a country that is facing 1) high inflation, 2) high 10y yields, 3) little to no economic growth, 4) no functional government, 5) a lack...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Adviser to the RO Minister of Labor. Macroeconomic and legal researcher working primarily with Romanian trade unions. Bowdoin College '22 alumn & Watson Fellow.
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