Capital Notes
Brant HammerTrading, global macro, and other random thoughts.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 86 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 2 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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capitalnotes.substack.comLatest Issues
What Actually Moves Stock Prices?
What Actually Moves Stock Prices?
A practitioner’s framework for the 5 forces that determine equity prices, when each one matters, and how to monitor them in real time.
I’ve spent years building and refining the analytical framework...
The Perfect Storm: War, Oil, Tariffs, and What the Data Actually Says
Ten days ago, the consensus was that 2026 would be a repeat of 2024: a slow grind higher powered by AI earnings, moderate growth, and a cooperative Fed. The soft landing was in. Recession risk was out. Investors were positioned accordingly....
Goldilocks Meets Geopolitics
Volatility has returned. The macro backdrop was healthy. Credit is whispering a warning. This is how to think about it.
This weekend I was building my weekly chart pack when the world changed. On February 28th, U.S. and Israeli forc...
🚨UPDATE: Capital Flows from US to International
On February 2nd I published “The Great Rebalancing: Why a Tired Dollar Might Finally Wake Up the World”. You can find the link to this article below.
In this piece I put forward the idea that Emerging Markets and International Developed Ma...
The Great Rebalancing: Why a Tired Dollar Might Finally Wake Up the World
Exhaustion at the Top
The “US exceptionalism” trade is running on fumes. While the consensus continues to chase large-cap tech, the technical structure of the broader S&P 500 is flashing warnings that are difficult to ignore. We are s...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Professor. Speculator. Investor. Former Banker. Opinions are my own. Infected with the global macro virus.
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