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Great Divergence

Cheryl Wu, Parker Whitfill

Economics, AI, Innovation, History

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

What Questions are in the Chinese Civil Service Exam?

Following my article last summer on China’s college entrance exams, let’s look at an equally demanding test: the Chinese Civil Service Exam! This piece will jump into several actual exam questions, giving you a chance to test whether you co...

4 months ago
3
2

The Brutal Economics of Building AGI

When talking about short-term profits, people will often make bearish claims about the economics of AI labs, “it’ll get commoditized” or “China will compete your margins down.” However, these concerns are usually not integrated into people’...

8 months ago
6
0

Is AI Safety a Market Failure?

Often, advocates will claim that AI Safety is a market failure, where AI labs do not have the appropriate incentives to invest in safety research that prevents catastrophic loss of control or misuse scenarios. [1]

8 months ago
6
0

The Case For Short AI Timelines

Last week, we reviewed the best inside view arguments that timelines to AGI may be longer than 10 years. This week, we will review the best arguments for short timelines: <10 years and perhaps much sooner. Again, these reflections are our “...

9 months ago
4
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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Cheryl Wu

    Economics Ph.D. student at Yale, working on AI, Innovation, History, Growth.

  • Parker Whitfill

    Econ Phd @ MIT. Focused on AI.

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