
《大寶雪梨來鴻》是住在雪梨的香港人,用香港味繁體中文,寫給香港、在澳港人,以及所有想認真理解澳洲的華文讀者。這裡不賣移民夢,也不做旅遊指南。我們談的是:當你已經有了身份、有了工作,下一步你需要思考什麼?私校學費如何變成階級門票、RBA加息對你 mortgage的真實影響、NDIS為何膨脹到財政難以承受、太平洋島國的地緣博弈、臺海風險對你子女未來的意義——這些不是遙遠的政策辯論,而是會直接寫進你未來二十年生活的現實。從數據、制度設計與街頭故事出發,拆解澳洲的政治、經濟、社會與地緣政治。
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四月一日,愚人節。澳洲總理阿爾巴尼斯(Anthony Albanese)突然宣布,當晚將發表全國電視演講,向澳洲人民就伊朗危機作出重要聲明。消息傳出,眾人屏息——是宣布燃油配給?是動用軍事力量護送油輪通過霍爾木茲海峽?還是宣布經濟緊急狀態?結果,他告訴我們:復活節假期記得如常出行,加油時不要加多過需要的份量。片長三分十七秒。
三月下旬,澳洲人排隊等候入油。恐慌源自波斯灣的海峽,霍爾木茲被伊朗封鎖了。
2026年三月二十四日,歐盟委員會主席馮德萊恩(Ursula von der Leyen)站在澳洲聯邦議會的講台上,她的開場白,是一句警告:「我們所處的世界是殘酷的、嚴苛的、毫不留情的。一切彷彿天翻地覆。」這是歐洲的戰略宣言。
澳洲人均 GDP在 OECD排名名列前茅,比德國高,比法國高,甚至比日本高出一截。每逢有人問起澳洲為何能維持如此高的生活水準,標準答案往往是「穩健的制度」、「開放的移民政策」、「良好的法治」。這些答案都不算錯,但它們都迴避了一個更直接的解釋:澳洲靠的是把東西從地底挖出來,賣給泱泱大國。
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源自香港的澳洲工業界策略師、澳洲經濟政治地緣政治分析者,即「冷氣軍師」。悲情愛華頓和聖路易紅雀球迷。
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