
「大叔美股筆記透過產業洞察、政策趨勢與財務分析,幫助讀者做出更聰明的投資判斷——同時穿插一些真實人生與幽默日常。」 “Uncle Stock Notes shares industry insights, policy trends, and financial analysis to help readers make smarter investment decisions—with a dose of real talk and life stories along the way.”
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✨內容皆為當日聊天紀錄,沒提到的股票只是沒提及
✨內容皆為當日聊天紀錄,沒提到的股票只是沒提及
飛輪全開:高盛2Q26全面創紀錄背後,SLR天花板與亞洲槓桿的隱憂
藍色備註是大叔的想法
資料區間 2026.0801-0807
我想跟大家分享一下,我目前對記憶體產業的看法。大叔不是要大家無腦看多記憶體。
而是幫助大家如何去看待,記憶體本質上還是週期產業,半導體其實也都是週期產業。只是我認為,AI 正在改變這一輪週期的長度、供需結構,以及記憶體廠過去那種「擴產—過剩—削價競爭」的老劇本。很多投資記憶體很久的人,多少都曾經被這個產業傷過。
景氣好,大家一起擴產; 價格高,大家一起搶市占; 最後產能過剩,開始削價; ASP 下跌,毛利崩掉; 股票通常比財報更早往下跳。
所以現在市場一看到 Samsu...
很多散戶投資一段時間後,會進入一個很尷尬的階段。財報看過。法說聽過。
X、YouTube、新聞、券商報告也都追。
每天接收的資訊很多,手機打開比 Bloomberg 還忙。但要下單時,心裡還是會冒出幾個問題:
這家公司到底值不值得買?我現在是在投資,還是在追故事?如果股價跌30%,我是該加碼,還是承認自己看錯?
這不是因為你不夠認真。常見的問題是你有資訊,卻沒有研究流程。投資需要建立的,不是「下一檔明牌」,而是一套可以重複使用的思考框架。
大叔自己研究股票,邏輯很...
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\ud83c\udf0d 美股財經評論家| 長期旅居美國 ✈️ 經常出差於全球,足跡遍及中國、台灣、北美及中南美洲 \ud83d\udd0d 擁有深入的總體經濟、國際關係、貿易與供應鏈管理經驗 \ud83d\udca1 熱衷分享美股投資觀點與市場資訊 ⚠️ 抄作業前請深思慎選,評估自身風險承受能力與資金管理 \ud83c\udfca\ud83c\udfc0\ud83c\udfcc️♂️ 熱愛游泳、籃球與高爾夫的大叔
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