David’s Substack
David ManheimMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 91 | Subscribers | Read | davidmanheim.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
How OpenAI - and Sam Altman - Fumbled the Biggest Tech Lead in History
OpenAI is currently in the middle of experiencing one of the most colossal missed opportunities in modern technology. OpenAI’s incredible success came with the promise of transforming the nonprofit into the only developer of the largest lan...
Are LLMs on the Path to AGI?
There’s a joke about how humans have gotten so good at thinking that they tricked rocks into thinking for them. But it’s a joke, in part because it’s funny to say that computers work by “tricking rocks into thinking,” and in part because wh...
Scaling Laws and Likely Limits to AI
A number of arguments about AI capabilities have deep roots in different expectations about how scaling can work, and historical analogues are often raised. This is true on both sides of the debate, with AI Snake Oil noting the end of scali...
On OpenAI's “Human Level” Superintelligence Hierarchy
Bloomberg reports that OpenAI internally has benchmarks for “Human-Level AI.” They have 5 levels, with the first being the achieved level of having intelligent conversation, to level 2, “[unassisted, PhD-level] Reasoners,” level 3, “Agents,...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I'm just a guy who writes papers, tries to understand public policy and maximize long-term value in the universe, and tweets.
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