David’s Substack
David ManheimMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Monthly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 106 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | a month ago |
| Active | |||||
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davidmanheim.substack.comLatest Issues
If AI is normal technology, history is not reassuring.
There’s a truism that technology is good for the world - even if it creates winners and losers, it improves the world. Toby Ord argues that the conclusions about the benefits of technology is sensitive to the end of humanity - but this jump...
Treaties, Regulations, and Research can be Complements
I think the debate over whether AI risk should be addressed via regulation or treaties is often oversimplified, and confused. These are not substitutes. They rely on overlapping underlying capacities and address different classes of problem...
Hunting Undead Stochastic Parrots: Finding and Killing the Arguments
The term “stochastic parrot” comes from Bender et al.’s 2021 paper, which identified several dangers of early large language models, and made a reasonable case that then-current LLMs lacked genuine understanding. Many of the points were imp...
Manheim’s Law of Positive-Sum Badness
I keep running into similar arguments online, where people attack “the other” and use the (correct) observation of badness to claim their side is therefore doing well. There’s a temptation to correct this by saying that in a dispute between...
Agents of Chaos: What Ash Did
What Ash Did
Ash is an AI agent. It runs 24/7 on a cloud server, managing email, posting to social platforms, executing shell commands. Its owner is a researcher named Chris. One February afternoon, a different researcher named Natalie...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
I'm just a guy who writes papers, tries to understand public policy and maximize long-term value in the universe, and tweets.
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