DurdenBTC — Survival Is Alpha
DurdenBTCQuant macro for SPY + Bitcoin. MRE v5: 10.5% CAGR over 23 years, 7/7 forward tests. Arsenal BTC: 87.8% CAGR, -34% DD vs BTC's -83%. Signals, not opinions.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 97 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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durdenbtc.substack.comLatest Issues
SIGNAL CHANGE
A new position is live. Here’s what changed and why.
As of yesterday’s close, the dashboard confirmed a new signal and the position is live.
I Am Jack's Inflated Sharpe Ratio
“It’s only after we’ve lost everything that we’re free to do anything.”
I didn’t lose everything. But I lost the one thing a quant guards more carefully than capital: the comfortable belief that my charts were telling me the truth. I had...
Mea Culpa: The Gold Signal Repainted. Here's the Post-Mortem.
I need to own something. Yesterday morning, the Arsenal Gold engine flipped to risk-off to 0% cash. I wrote that gold had gone defensive and I sold my own gold sleeve.
This morning, with gold not even trading yet, the signal quietly flippe...
Issue #56: The Signals Flipped; We Cut Risk
This Week the Systems Said “Trim”
Two signal changes this week.. one of them this morning, and they all point the same way: take risk off the table. Gold’s Arsenal flipped bearish ( exit incoming) and Bitcoin’s been a 0% position since...
SIGNAL CHANGE
A new position is live. Here’s what changed and why.
As of yesterday’s close, the dashboard confirmed a new signal and the position is live.
Key Facts
Audience Metrics
Subscribers, engagement, traffic and sponsorship for DurdenBTC.
| Subscribers | Engagement | 75 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
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How this newsletter ranks in the official Substack charts.
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| #68 |
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Bitcoin ⚡\ud83e\udde0 Macro Precision. Exit before the herd. Charts, context & cycle signals—delivered weekly. Follow + Substack if you’re done being exit liquidity.
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