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DurdenBTC — Survival Is Alpha

DurdenBTC

Quant macro for SPY + Bitcoin. MRE v5: 10.5% CAGR over 23 years, 7/7 forward tests. Arsenal BTC: 87.8% CAGR, -34% DD vs BTC's -83%. Signals, not opinions.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesDaily
Issues90Foundeda year agoLast Issue4 days ago
Active

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Latest Issues

Issue #54: Fund Managers Just Rang The 2022 Bell

Apologies for the delay this week. I have been extremely busy and had a whirlwind day yesterday. Regardless, one day late is better than never. Let’s get into it..

TL;DR.. The Big Three

  • The 8th Rule is now free. Public on TradingV...
4 days ago
3

Setting the 8th Rule Free

Quick one, but an important one.

The original 8th Rule.. the indicator that kicked off this entire publication, the one a lot of you paid Substack access for over the last year.. is now live on TradingView as a free, public-protected scrip...

7 days ago
5

No More Black Box: MRE Edition

Since upgrading the Arsenal chart output to show a deeper understanding of the signal, I thought it might be useful to have the same approach for the MRE engine.

On the “2YR History” tab inside of the members area you will now see some add...

8 days ago
2

Issue #53: The Last Hawk Standing

Executive Summary & Important Highlights

Quiet week on the tape, loud week under the hood.

The Macro Regime Engine is still firmly risk-on in a reflation regime.. 32 bullish votes to 15 bearish, and the bullish count actually ticked h...

11 days ago
4

No More Black Box.

A lot of you have asked how the Arsenal engines actually decide between 100% long, 50% half-position, and 0% cash. I know for a lot of you today’s signal was ‘strange’ given the price action for $ETH.

I’ve spent the last 12 hours re-buildi...

15 days ago
6
3

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  • DurdenBTC

    Bitcoin ⚡\ud83e\udde0 Macro Precision. Exit before the herd. Charts, context & cycle signals—delivered weekly. Follow + Substack if you’re done being exit liquidity.

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