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Energy Capitalist

Matt Sage

Subscribe for weekly analysis of energy markets, companies, and the stocks positioned to profit.

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Issues13Founded4 months agoLast Issue11 days ago
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Latest Issues

SLB: The Oil Stock that isn't an oil stock

TL;DR

SLB is traded as a bet on the oil price. It isn’t. Its revenue tracks what oil companies spend (the global E&P budget) not Brent price. That capital spending lags oil prices, and historically over-corrects. Today, we are entering a m...

11 days ago
17

Forget Oil Stocks. The Iran Trade Is Hiding in Fertilizer.

If the Strait of Hormuz closes tomorrow, you know exactly what the retail herd will do. They will buy Exxon. They will buy Chevron. They will flood into crude ETFs.

They aren’t wrong — oil will spike. But they are looking at the wrong mole...

23 days ago
10

Batteries Are Booming. The Battery Trade Is Dying.

There is a number that every energy investor can recite right now, and it is genuinely staggering.

Battery storage additions have grown about elevenfold in four years. The grid added a rounding error of storage in 2021. In 2025 it added mo...

2 months ago
8

Vestas: The €40 Billion Opportunity Market Is Ignoring

The world’s largest wind turbine manufacturer just reported a record €76 billion order backlog while U.S. clean energy stocks are being treated like a crime scene. One of these data points is doing a lot of mispricing.

Vestas Wind Systems...

2 months ago
5
2

The AI Power Play Flying Under the Radar: Is INNIO Worth the Premium?

You’ve been watching GE Vernova re-rate from a post-spinoff orphan into a $300 billion transformer juggernaut. You’ve watched Bloom Energy go from a perpetually almost-profitable fuel cell startup to an $83 billion market cap in eighteen mo...

2 months ago
17

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  • Matt Sage

    Energy investor & operator | 20+ years in energy projects, procurement & ops. Nuanced analysis on oil/gas, nuclear, renewables, grid & storage for serious investors.

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