Exact Macro Market Monitor
Mike SandiferMarket--based weekly outlooks on the US stock market and economy, from the market monetarist perspective with a particular focus on models based upon the equilibrium relationship between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the NGDP growth rate.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 399 | Subscribers | Read | exactmacro.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 04/10/2026
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate rose last week, in part due to a better-than-expected BLS March jobs report. As Guy Berger correctly states, this positive report should be put in the context of recent months, which indic...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 04/03/2026
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate fell for the 5th straight week, as hopes for a quick resolution to the Iran war and related energy supply shock continued to fade. The S&P 500 is now down nearly 9% from its all-time high ...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/27/2026
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate fell again last week, largely as a result of nominal shocks given that Fed policy is expected tighten a bit in an environment of rising inflation.
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/20/2026
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate fell for the third straight week, largely as a result of the deepening supply shock caused by the restriction of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude prices briefly spiked to n...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
As a former stockbroker, I offer macro fundamentals-based stock/dollar forex market boom/bust alerts and portfolio stress-testing.
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