Exact Macro Market Monitor
Mike SandiferMarket--based weekly outlooks on the US stock market and economy, from the market monetarist perspective with a particular focus on models based upon the equilibrium relationship between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the NGDP growth rate.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 263 | Subscribers | Read | exactmacro.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 11/01/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate finally saw setbacks last week, breaking a 6 week streak of gains. This was seemingly largely due to a rise in concerns over rising stakes in the Middle East conflict, which also drove up ...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 10/25/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate rose for the 6th straight time last week, as inflation expectations remained stable in the midst of a large drop in oil prices. This net positive real shock mostly reflected eased concerns...
Updated Quarterly NGDP Forecasts and NGDP Output Gaps
Based on S&P 500 earnings estimates and futures prices.
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 10/18/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate increased for the fifth straight week, despite rising concerns about escalation of the conflict between Israel and Iran. Hence, the VIX increased substantially, as oil prices spiked a bit,...
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Authors
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As a former stockbroker, I offer macro fundamentals-based stock/dollar forex market boom/bust alerts and portfolio stress-testing.
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