Exact Macro Market Monitor
Mike SandiferContent based on the translation of changes in stock and bond prices into changes in NGDP growth expectations, with eventual applications to individual stocks.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 220 | Subscribers | Read | exactmacro.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
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Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/29/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate rose sharply last week, after losses for the prior two weeks. Inflation expectations climbed a bit further above the Fed’s preferred 2% target in core PCE terms, though the VIX declined. A...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/22/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate declined for a second straight week, though just barely. The 5-year inflation breakeven remains slightly above the Fed’s 2% target in core PCE terms, so more resistance to the bull market ...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/15/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate declined last week, representing a rare recent retreat, as the VIX rose. We should continue to expect more such weeks, as I’ve been indicating since the first half of last month, save some...
Stock and GDP Outlook, for Week Ending 03/08/2024
Stock prices and the mean expected NGDP growth rate sharply rose again last week, in the midst of a second-in-a-row. month-on-month increase in the core PCE inflation rate, which was in-line with expectations. Core PCE inflation continued a...
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Authors
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As a former stockbroker, I offer macro fundamentals-based stock/dollar forex market boom/bust alerts and portfolio stress-testing.
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