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A website for non-partisan, data-driven political news and analysis, especially polling aggregation. Paying subscribers get access to data at FiftyPlusOne.news

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Latest Issues

Affordability concerns are even more important to voters than in 2024

Welcome to The Trendline, the FiftyPlusOne.news weekly polling roundup. Subscribe to get it delivered straight to your inbox and get bundled access to our polling website.

Subscribe now


In May, the average price of gas nationwide h...

5 days ago
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How 50+1 designed our 2026 election forecast page

FiftyPlusOne is aggregating polls and calculating polling averages and election forecasts for nearly every major statewide and federal election this cycle. Subscribe so you don’t miss out:


How to best visualize probability and uncer...

6 days ago
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1

Election forecast: Democrats strongly favored to take House, Senate tilts Democratic

Today, FiftyPlusOne released our new forecasting model for the U.S. House and Senate midterm elections.

As of 6:00 AM Eastern on Monday, August 3, 2026, the model gives Democrats an 85% chance of winning the majority of seats in the House...

9 days ago
151

How the FiftyPlusOne 2026 election model works

FiftyPlusOne.news is excited to release our flagship congressional election forecast for the 2026 midterm elections to the U.S. House of Representatives and U.S. Senate. Our state-of-the-art model combines polls, historical “fundamentals,”...

9 days ago
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We tracked every candidate in the 2026 primaries. Here's who voters are nominating.

Graphics for this article were edited by Katie Marriner.


All eyes are turning to the 2026 midterms, but while November is still months away, some of the most important battles of this year’s election cycle are already underway in th...

12 days ago
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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • FiftyPlusOne

    polls. data. fiftyplusone.news

  • G. Elliott Morris

    data-driven journalist and author of STRENGTH IN NUMBERS. i write about politics, public opinion, and elections using facts and math

  • Meredith Conroy

    I’m a political science professor and Vice President of Research at the Geena Davis Institute. Until March 2025 I was a contributor at 538 with ABCNews (RIP). I’m interested in gender, politics, media, and public opinion and their intersections.

  • Tia Yang

    Philly-based freelance news editor and data journalist covering Congress and elections. Story editor at Votebeat. Words at FiveThirtyEight, CQ Roll Call, FiftyPlusOne, VoteHub, Hunter Index, Etc.

  • Mary Radcliffe

    Polls.

  • Cooper Burton

    Freelance political researcher and writer. Work with CNN, FiveThirtyEight, FiftyPlusOne News, VoteHub, Election Standards Research Service.

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