Follow The Incentive
Policy → Liquidity → Incentives → Capital Flows Data over narratives. Conditional analysis, not predictions.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 57 | Founded | 5 months ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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followtheincentive.substack.comLatest Issues
Sunday Signals with FTI
The Week Ahead
The nine-week equity rally ran on the belief that AI earnings could carry the market through anything. This week, that will be stress tested.
Three things define the week ahead:
• May CPI Wednesday: the last inflation r...
Sunday Signals with FTI
The Week Ahead
May closed at ATHs across the board. The S&P notched its ninth consecutive winning week.
June opens with an entirely different setup. The first full week of the new month is the most jobs heavy data week of the quarter, and...
Sunday Signals with FTI
The Week Ahead
Nvidia delivered. The bull case came back a beat, and the market mostly shrugged. I think that tells us something important: the AI trade is no longer the swing factor. The bond market is.
Three things define the holiday...
The Market Found Out a Ceasefire Is Not a Switch
Capital Flow Thursday #008
In CFT #007 we said, “a pause is not a resolution, and the economic damage that accumulates during a pause still counts.” We said the volatility would continue because the underlying variable, physical flow t...
Sunday Signals with FTI
The Week Ahead
The week that started with the Dow up at 50,000 ended with both major indexes pulling back sharply on the same three things that have been building all month:
- Oil above $100 with Hormuz still (functionally) closed...
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Policy → Liquidity → Incentives → Capital Flows Conditional analysis, not predictions
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