Co-founder and lead pollster at Quantus Insights. Author of For the Republic, exploring politics, economics, history, culture, and faith.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 192 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 22 hours ago |
| Active | |||||
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jasonbcorley.substack.comLatest Issues
Election Day Forecast: Senate Leans Democratic, House Likely
The short version: Democrats have a 64 percent chance of controlling the Senate and a 94 percent chance of controlling the House. Neither number is a prediction that it will happen. Sixty-four percent loses one time in three.
Senate
The m...
The Texas Size Model: 7.72 Million Votes Cast, and a Senate Race Still Too Close to Call
Texas has already cast roughly 7.72 million early ballots. That is an extraordinary amount of voting before Election Day, and it tells us far more about the electorate than we knew a few weeks ago.
But knowing who voted is not the same as...
Our Final Texas Poll Shows a One-Point Senate Race. Here’s How I’m Reading It.
Our last Texas poll of the cycle went up this morning at quantusinsights.org: Paxton 48.7, Talarico 47.6 for Senate, and Abbott 50.7, Hinojosa 45.8 for Governor. The release covers the toplines, the crosstabs, the movement since our early O...
What I Can Tell You About the North Carolina Numbers
I spent the weekend in the North Carolina data, and I want to walk through it the way I actually looked at it rather than the way a press release does. The official report is up at quantusinsights.org. This is the version with my own though...
The Senator and the Ticket: Reading Our Final Georgia Poll
What an eight-point split tells us, and the one number I’d want to check twice.
Our last Georgia survey of the cycle came out this morning. The official release and full crosstabs are at quantusinsights.org, and I’d encourage you to read t...
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Co-founder and lead pollster at Quantus Insights. Author of For the Republic, exploring politics, economics, history, culture, and faith.
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