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Decision Desk HQ

Decision Desk HQ, Geoffrey Skelley, Louis Jacobson

Home to Decision Desk HQ's analysis of U.S. elections and politics, led by The Bellwether newsletter.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues926SubscribersRead decisiondeskhq.substack.com

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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Sweet Home Alabama's sour GOP primary for Senate

Source: Office of Alabama Governor

8 days ago
2
0

Democrats are still underdogs in the Senate

Democrats’ chances of capturing the U.S. Senate have improved. But the GOP remains at least somewhat favored to maintain its majority.

10 days ago
33
0

Episode 27: What Will Matter in 2026, with Chris Cillizza of So What

We are about six months out from the 2026 midterm elections. That means some of the larger environmental factors that will impact the electoral playing field are getting clearer. But plenty of things are not fully settled, including public ...

13 days ago
6
2

❓What happened last night: Virginia votes Yes on redistricting

Virginia Gov. Abigail Spanberger has become a polarizing figure over the campaign to redistrict Virginia. But the Yes side, which she supported, won yesterday’s constitutional amendment vote.

14 days ago
44
25

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Decision Desk HQ

    Fast and reliable results and analysis for elections at every level, from federal to local. Find our analysis at https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com.

  • Geoffrey Skelley

    Chief Elections Analyst for Decision Desk HQ. Data journalist, elections guru, and close observer of American politics. Alum of FiveThirtyEight and Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.

  • Louis Jacobson

    I am chief author of the Almanac of American Politics 2026, the eighth edition I have worked on, going back to 2000. I am also chief correspondent with PolitiFact, and I'm a senior columnist with Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia.

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