Home to Decision Desk HQ's analysis of U.S. elections and politics, led by The Bellwether newsletter.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily |
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decisiondeskhq.substack.comLatest Issues
Forecast Update: Is a blue wave rising or cresting?
DDHQ friend Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was joined by Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and Data Scientist Maddisen Murrell to talk about Decision Desk HQ’s 2026 election forecast. Democrats now look more likely to...
🔵 🔴 Democrats’ would-be House majority depends on Trump-won districts
🍺 What’s on tap 🚰
Today’s newsletter features:
Special offer for newsletter readers: Get a discounted rate on Decision Desk HQ’s VOTES Pro portal and access to a special briefing next week on the midterm situation.
Frontrunner: Democ...
📈 Could Democrats actually flip Kansas’s Senate seat?
Weekly Spotlight
With under a month to go until Election Day, the U.S. Senate playing field is expanding deeper into the Plains States. In theory, Republican Sen. Roger Marshall should be safely on his way to reelection in Kansas, where...
Forecast Update: Democrats have more than 50% chance of flipping both Senate & House
DDHQ friend Chris Cillizza, who runs So What on Substack, was joined by Chief Elections Analyst Geoffrey Skelley and Data Scientist Maddisen Murrell to talk about Decision Desk HQ’s 2026 election forecast. The electoral environment has tren...
↪️ Path(s) to a Senate Majority ↩️
🍺 What’s on tap 🚰
Today’s newsletter features:
Temp Check: How Latino voters in Texas have swung left ahead of the 2026 midterms.
Frontrunner: A look at how different outcomes affect control of the Senate and the most common ways tha...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Fast and reliable results and analysis for elections at every level, from federal to local. Find our analysis at https://decisiondeskhq.substack.com.
Content creator. Nerd.
Chief Elections Analyst for Decision Desk HQ. Data journalist, elections guru, and close observer of American politics. Alum of FiveThirtyEight and Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
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