GnS Economics Newsletter
Tuomas Malinen, Global21We are here to shield you from Black Swans, i.e., improbable, high-impact events, and to forecast the global economy. We have been operating actively since 2018, after which not a single major detrimental event has not come as a surprise to our customers.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 620 | Subscribers | Read | gnseconomics.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
U.S. growth falters
The U.S.’s first-quarter GDP just came out. According to the first estimate, the U.S. economy grew by an annualized rate of 2% during the first quarter of 2026. Factoring in the massive downward revision in the fourth quarter GDP two weeks ...
Weekly Forecasts 17/2026
The bailout of Private Credit through U.S. repo
A golden (forecasting) paradox
Prices follow the path of the 1970s oil crisis but not the forecasts
The Israelian knot
Yesterday, I noted that the likelihood of the ceasefire between Iran and the U.S. holding has increased and is growing slowly each day that the war does not restart. In other words, I currently see the likelihood of a U.S. withdrawal from t...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Tuomas (PhD. econ) is a CEO of GnS Economics, an independent Helsinki-based macroeconomic consultancy specialized in analyzing and forecasting the risks of the world economy, financial markets and the global geopolitical arena.
Patricia Marins
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