PhD, CEO, and Associate Professor of Economics. 20 years of training in economics and nearly a lifetime of training in geopolitics. I provide you with an unyielding and uncensored view.
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On a Threshold?
A "new round" of the ceasefire
Before the “ink” was barely dry in my previous piece, escalation in the Middle East resumed. Iran downed an U.S. Army AH-64 Apache attack helicopter over the Strait of Hormuz (and reportedly hit others). Ther...
Spiritus Immundi
A conspiratorial view (and forecast) for the conflict in the Middle East
And just like that, the path of escalation between Iran and Israel ceased, for a short while at least. Fundamentally nothing has changed, which implies that this is u...
Here we go
On Sunday evening, Iran made good of its promise to retaliate if Israel would not abide the ceasefire agreed upon in Lebanon. Israel (naturally) replied, and hence we have entered the second go of the war, like we at GnS Economics warned so...
The Play of the IRGC II
Pretend, and extend
In mid-April, I started to speculate on the long-term strategy of Iran, more precisely that of the IRGC (Islamist Revolutionary Guard Corps). I pieced together bits and pieces of information from various public and priv...
A forecasting failure in gold
Today, I will briefly comment on my forecasts for the price of gold and silver, which have failed, rather totally. The failure calls for a serious re-pondering of why the forecasts have failed so badly. The answer may be something we would...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I am an economist (PhD), forecaster, entrepreneur and a CEO of GnS Economics, and I also hold a title of Associate Professor of Economics at the University of Helsinki. I analyze and forecast economic, geopolitical, and financial developments.
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