Good Judgment News and Insights
Good JudgmentActionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting. Paid subscribers receive Superforecasting the Week Ahead, our premium weekly roundup of the most important Superforecasts shaping the week ahead.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 58 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 8 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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goodjudgment.substack.comLatest Issues
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 3 August 2026
UK, Central Banks, and New Questions on FutureFirst
Here is what’s on our radar in the week ahead at Good Judgment.
Superforecasting the Week Ahead
China-Taiwan and the Fed
27 July 2026. Here is what’s on our radar in the week ahead at Good Judgment.
Not So Fast
Our colleagues at the Forecasting Research Institute (FRI) recently updated their leaderboard with this clickbait claim on X: “For the first time, several AI models are now statistically indistinguishable from superforecasters.”
That c...
The Hype and the Evidence about AI Forecasting
By Dr. Warren Hatch
Let’s be clear about a few things. Astral Codex Ten recently ran a piece arguing that the AI superforecasters have arrived and are closing in on the world’s best human forecasters. It’s a good read. But the excitement a...
The Problem with Agreement and Three Questions to Fix It
Over the years, Good Judgment has worked with hundreds of organizations, from new analysts to C-suite leaders and across industries ranging from the military and finance to energy. Here’s one thing we’ve discovered: the best decision proces...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 69 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accepts Sponsors | Estimated Cost per Ad | ||||
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See the future sooner: Actionable, early insight and better decisions start with the science of Superforecasting
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