Actionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting. Paid subscribers receive Superforecasting the Week Ahead, our premium weekly roundup of the most important Superforecasts shaping the week ahead.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
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| Issues | 68 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
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goodjudgment.substack.comLatest Issues
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 5 October 2026
The Fed and Elections in Spain
Fed. Superforecasters have remained skeptical of an October Fed rate hike, which would come just after September’s increase and ahead of the midterms. They currently have a 99% probability of a pause. The mar...
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 29 September 2026
Iran and Global Inflationary Pressures
Iran. With President Trump’s threat of “annihilation” in his UN speech and Iran’s warning that it could expand the war, the conflict remains as tense as it has been in recent months. Superforecasters...
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 22 September 2026
US Midterms and Central Bank Roundup
US Midterms. In his latest Substack post, Matthew Yglesias looked at how prediction markets did in this year’s primaries. He found them well calibrated, but mostly following the polls and weakest in rac...
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 14 September 2026
Russia-Ukraine and a Fed update
Russia-Ukraine. Superforecasters remain deeply skeptical, as they have since the conflict began, that either a ceasefire or a formal peace agreement is approaching.
Superforecasting the Week Ahead: 8 September 2026
France, Spain, Italy, and the UK. Plus a Fed forecast update, and Dr. Hatch’s interview with KPMG
Europe Election Roundup. After the Alternative for Germany (the AfD) performed well in the eastern state of Saxony-Anhalt, the election outlo...
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