Good Judgment News and Insights
Good JudgmentActionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 54 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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goodjudgment.substack.comLatest Issues
The Problem with Agreement and Three Questions to Fix It
Over the years, Good Judgment has worked with hundreds of organizations, from new analysts to C-suite leaders and across industries ranging from the military and finance to energy. Here’s one thing we’ve discovered: the best decision proces...
Why We Never Use Wikipedia: A Lesson from Charles de Gaulle Airport
Another week, another few stories of prediction markets being in the news. The week of 20 April was no exception. On one hand, we had the case of Gannon Ken Van Dyke, a US Army special forces soldier, who was arrested in late April 2026 acc...
In Defense of Polymarket
Some years ago, I was flipping through channels and came across Judge Frank Easterbrook on C-SPAN giving a talk. I decided to listen in. (I can be fun at parties, I promise.) During this talk, he described a discussion he’d had with the lat...
What ForecastBench Doesn’t Measure (Yet)
In a previous post, we looked at what Superforecasters actually said about ForecastBench in the latest LEAP survey, and why some headlines ran ahead of the findings. Here we dig into the benchmark itself: what it measures, or doesn’t measur...
The Tenured Assumption Fallacy
I don’t enmesh myself enough in baseball to make George Will proud, but I have enjoyed watching the World Baseball Classic this year. One thing I remember that caught my attention in my youth was the curious regional popularity of the sport...
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| Subscribers | Engagement | 70 | Monthly Web Visits | ||
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See the future sooner: Actionable, early insight and better decisions start with the science of Superforecasting
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