Good Judgment News and Insights
Good JudgmentActionable, Early Insight with the Science of Superforecasting
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 45 | Subscribers | Read | goodjudgment.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Meet the Winners of the 2025 University Forecasting Challenge
From August to December 2025, students from universities around the world tested their forecasting abilities on GJ Open. The 2025 University Forecasting Challenge asked participants to make predictions on topics ranging from economic indica...
Testing Polymarket’s “Most Accurate” Claim
Figure 1. The averaged meeting Brier scores (lower is better).
Good Judgment’s 2025 in Review
It’s been a challenging year. Public imagination has been captured by prediction markets and AI alike as potential oracles for, well, everything. And yet, here we are at Good Judgment Inc, not just standing but setting records.
The Devil Is in the Verb
Writing questions is harder than it looks. For simple things, like run-of-the-mill economic data (when the government isn’t shut down), it is rather easy. However, we do not live in a simple world, and framing forecasting questions for high...
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Authors
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See the future sooner: Actionable, early insight and better decisions start with the science of Superforecasting
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