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Root Logic Market Insights

Harry at Root Logic

Market trends and investing insights

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues25Foundeda year agoLast Issue10 days ago
Active

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Latest Issues

Nebius Q1 2026: The Forgotten Apocalypse

How a single quarter rearranged the four horsemen threat model, the valuation, and the way I think about this business.

Nebius reported Q1 earnings yesterday and the story changed significantly. In fact, the story and underlying numbers ch...

10 days ago
7
2
Paid

'Overstretched' valuations, and Anthropic growing 50% in a few weeks... you ain't seen nothing yet

Part 1 of the AI 2030 series: Modelling out Anthropic's revenue growth to try and size the 2030 AI economy

Anthropic’s annualised run-rate went from $30 billion in April to $45 billion in early May. Roughly $15 billion of net ARR added in...

13 days ago
7
Paid

Open Sourcing My AI Powered Stock Research Process

Peter Lynch said something along the lines of “you should always have your money invested in your best ideas”.

I’ve followed that principle, and it’s worked well.

The average return from my publications is over 45% in my first year. (See...

20 days ago
4
2

Rocket Lab is overvalued, but I just added to my position.

Sometimes the discipline isn't refusing to pay up. Sometimes it's recognising when the framework you're using can't see what's in front of you. And sometimes that makes you look a little bit crazy.

Quick housekeeping before we get into Roc...

25 days ago
9
Paid

The Nebius Four Horsemen Return: The Dilution Paradox

I'm more confident in Nebius today than I was three months ago. Substantially more confident. And yet my base case valuation just dropped by more than $10.

That is what I want to unpack in this piece.

Contents:

  1. Thesis Reminder...
2 months ago
14

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  • Harry at Root Logic

    Average return of 40% for all 2025 published research. Focussed on AI, compounders, value investing, and occasionally miniature wargaming businesses (Games Workshop).

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