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Prediction markets will be good for humanity if done right.

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Artwork for Bayesian Supercycle

Latest Issues

The Future of Prediction Market Media

I’m excited to announce that Bayesian Supercycle is merging with The SuperModel to form The Supercycle.

I’ve really appreciated the support I’ve gotten for my writing thus far, particularly for my interview with Adhi Rajaprabhakaran and No...

2 months ago
9
1

Interview with Mikhail Samin

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Available for iOS and Android

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2 months ago
2

Polyfactual on Bayesian Supercycle

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2 months ago
7

Fun Prediction Markets

META: LIVE interview tomorrow with Polyfactual at 10am


Here’s a fun one for today:

Bayesian Supercycle is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber.

My jo...

2 months ago
8

Interview with Adhi Rajaprabhakaran and Noah Zingler-Sternig

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Available for iOS and Android

Get the app

2 months ago
21

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Eli Goldfine

    "13 year old prediction markets guru" - Business Insider

  • Flip Pidot

    Politics x Markets

  • Polyfactual

    Get live updates on Polymarket betting markets and macro global prediction forecasts. Our live prediction agent is COMING SOON!

  • Adhi Rajaprabhakaran

    Investor at UFO Holdings

  • Mikhail Samin
  • Noah Zingler-Sternig

    I am a prediction markets expert and Kalshi’s former Head of Operations. Follow me on X where I am active!

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