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Arkomina Research

Marko Bjegovic

Subscribe for all CPI, inflation, labor market, macro and market related topics. For more visit ArkominaResearch.com.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Sep 2024 PCE Estimate

PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. After +0.1 pp higher-than-expected CPI in Sep, especially core, fears that inflation might be increasing have gone up.

2 months ago
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Sep 2024 CPI Estimate

Tomorrow at 8:30 am ET we will get the long-awaited Sep CPI. Fed’s focus in some prior months hasn’t been that much on inflation, as much as it was on employment. However, after the latest jobs report, things might have shifted a bit and in...

2 months ago
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Aug 2024 PCE Inflation Estimate - Update

Yesterday we got quarterly PCE inflation data that brought revisions for more than 5 years back (since Q1 2019). As a result, I am updating my Aug PCE inflation estimates published here:

3 months ago
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Aug PCE Inflation Estimate

In Q1 2024 CPI was higher than expected. Then in Q2 CPI was mostly cooler than expected driven by exceptionally cool May and Jun. Jul was again a cool month, while Aug was more mixed \- headline came in slightly cooler than expected, while ...

3 months ago
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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Marko Bjegovic

    Marko is a founder of Arkomina, based in London, UK. He has over 17 years of financial markets experience. Prior to founding Arkomina, Marko was an equity broker, investment advisor, investment manager and chief bank macroeconomist.

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