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| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
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arkominaresearch.substack.comLatest Issues
The Fed Is Hiking on a One-Off
Gasoline lifted headline CPI. A record education-and-communication spike lifted core. Neither is a reason to raise rates.
The Aug CPI has made a lot of waves in the market. It came in line for headline, hotter for core MoM, but in line for...
Aug 2026 CPI Estimate
On Friday, Sep 11, we will get the Aug CPI, which will determine whether the Fed hikes rates next week or not.
On Friday, Sep 11, we will get the Aug CPI, which will determine whether the Fed hikes rates next week or not. Every CPI report...
The +162K Jobs Report Is Weaker Than It Looks
On Friday, we got the Aug Employment Report, which was stronger than expected for payrolls and in line with expectations for the unemployment rate.
Although payrolls were much stronger in Aug than in Jul, this report actually supports no c...
Jul 2026 PCE Inflation Forecast
Next Wednesday (Aug 26), we will get the Jul PCE Inflation, the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
Next Wednesday (Aug 26), we will get the Jul PCE Inflation, the Fed’s favorite inflation gauge.
July CPI Shows Inflation Outside of Gasoline Is Already at Multi-Year Lows
A week ago, we got the Jul CPI, which was largely in line with market estimates.
A week ago, we got the Jul CPI, which was largely in line with market estimates. This was enough to bring down market probabilities for Fed rate hikes in Sep...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Marko is a founder of Arkomina, based in London, UK. He has over 17 years of financial markets experience. Prior to founding Arkomina, Marko was an equity broker, investment advisor, investment manager and chief bank macroeconomist.
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