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Platform | Substack | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
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Issues | 35 | Subscribers | Read | arkominaresearch.substack.com |
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PCE is the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. After +0.1 pp higher-than-expected CPI in Sep, especially core, fears that inflation might be increasing have gone up.
Tomorrow at 8:30 am ET we will get the long-awaited Sep CPI. Fed’s focus in some prior months hasn’t been that much on inflation, as much as it was on employment. However, after the latest jobs report, things might have shifted a bit and in...
Yesterday we got quarterly PCE inflation data that brought revisions for more than 5 years back (since Q1 2019). As a result, I am updating my Aug PCE inflation estimates published here:
In Q1 2024 CPI was higher than expected. Then in Q2 CPI was mostly cooler than expected driven by exceptionally cool May and Jun. Jul was again a cool month, while Aug was more mixed \- headline came in slightly cooler than expected, while ...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Marko is a founder of Arkomina, based in London, UK. He has over 17 years of financial markets experience. Prior to founding Arkomina, Marko was an equity broker, investment advisor, investment manager and chief bank macroeconomist.
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