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Daily market moving economic data focused on inflation and the economy; short and to the point. We deliver numbers, compare them to consensus estimates, and add multi-timeframe chart analysis. But, best of all, we provide the context to make it useful.

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Latest Issues

Excellent Economic Data and Consumer Strength

10-30-2024

Lede

Excellent.

Yesterday, 10-29-2024, we learned that both job openings and quits fell to new cycle lows.

Today, 10-30-2024, we learned this:

  • Consumer spending is very strong; consumption growth made the largest cont...
2 years ago

Jobs Weak Again; Cooler Heads Prevail?

Preface

Today we received the non farm payrolls report (the “jobs report”) and it was weaker than expectations and two prior months were revised down as well.

Last month the market was wounded by a surprisingly low 114K payrolls added,...

2 years ago

Jackson Hole: The Future Upon Us

Lede

If you want to know the future, give it a few days – we will all have a slightly clearer picture – and then we will hope, because that is all we have left to do with a defiant Fed.

Preface

From August 22 – 24, the 2024 Jackson...

2 years ago

Inflation Drops; Real-time Rents Turn Negative

Lede

Today we got the CPI inflation report.

Kathy Jones pointed out that for the the first time since June 2020, the 3-month annualized change for both core and headline CPI are below 2%.

The BLS’ new measure of real-time new rent in...

2 years ago

Unemployment Rate Rises, The Fed Missed Badly

Preface

(Reminder: Yesterday I penned Jobless Claims Fresh Highs; Manufacturing Fresh Lows.)

As of today, we will have a Fed that is on the right side of the market as opposed to in opposition to it. That’s the silver lining. The Fed w...

2 years ago

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