A newsletter about statistics, inference and time series.
Platform | Substack | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Issues | 90 | Subscribers | Read | paulmainwood.substack.com |
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So many post mortems of the election results already out there. Just a very brief thought on a reaction that’s coming out from many quarters - that the “polls were all right after all”.
Previously high prices for Trump have plunged 10ppts in the last five days before Election Day
One of the issue with death registrations in the UK is that they take so damn long, and this lag is getting longer.1
Time to stop hiding behind snide criticism of everyone else, and take the risk of being horribly wrong. Time to put out what I think will happen in November.
Other publications recommended by the authors of this newsletter.
The writers behind this newsletter.
Used to be an academic. Now my job title has "strategy" in it.
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