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Mean Squared Error

Paul Mainwood

A newsletter about statistics, inference and time series.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues90SubscribersRead paulmainwood.substack.com

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#170
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#137
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Latest Issues

Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.

Yes, the polls were bad

So many post mortems of the election results already out there. Just a very brief thought on a reaction that’s coming out from many quarters - that the “polls were all right after all”.

14 days ago
6
3

US Election: What's going on with those betting markets?

Previously high prices for Trump have plunged 10ppts in the last five days before Election Day

18 days ago
4
0
Paid

Turbo cancer check-in for Scotland

One of the issue with death registrations in the UK is that they take so damn long, and this lag is getting longer.1

21 days ago
12
1

US election: predictions

Time to stop hiding behind snide criticism of everyone else, and take the risk of being horribly wrong. Time to put out what I think will happen in November.

a month ago
17
4

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Authors

The writers behind this newsletter.

  • Paul Mainwood

    Used to be an academic. Now my job title has "strategy" in it.

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