Mehmet Avci
Writing on tech & culture
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 10 | Founded | 9 months ago | Last Issue | 6 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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reachavci.substack.comLatest Issues
Prediction Markets Eat DeFi
Prediction markets are being compared to options, perpetual futures, sportsbooks, exchanges, news outlets, polling firms, hedge fund research desks, insurance products, sentiment indicators, and intelligence briefings.
Financial markets ha...
Crypto's Crisis of Identity
It's crisis of identity season in crypto. Thesis on thesis piling up, everyone trying to articulate what the industry is actually for, reaching for some use case beyond finance while the products generating real usage get dismissed as degen...
When Prediction Markets Enter the Newsroom
A reporter covering an uncertain outcome has always conducted a kind of informal prediction market.
You call sources, talk to lawyers who talk to the agency, read filings, ask people on background what they think will happen. The work tria...
Is AI Any Good at Predicting?
AI models have access to public information. They can process it faster and more systematically than any human, run through every historical dataset, cross-reference every news feed, analyze every transcript and filing and social media post...
Prediction Markets are Attention Labor Markets
The New York Times this week profiled traders making millions on Kalshi and Polymarket. The article frames prediction market trading as one of those era-defining occupations, like being a Wall Street trader in the 1980s, a dot-com founder i...
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Prediction markets and crypto
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