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First Strike Research

Actionable intelligence on financial markets: equities, event contracts, and more. We find mispricings across stocks, options, event-contracts. Subscribe now so you don't miss a trade!

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues36Founded2 years agoLast Issue17 days ago
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Latest Issues

Oura’s Challenge: Convincing Consumers They Need One More Wearable

Oura has decided to pause its plans for an IPO. Our last article on Jersey Mike’s highlighted the unforeseen risks to initial investors that are oftentimes buried under flashy non-GAAP adjusted EBITDA metrics. We believe there are additiona...

17 days ago
3

Perpetual Futures and CME: What the Early Data Shows

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: The author(s) of this research hold ‘long’ equity positions in CME, an exchange referenced in this research and would financially benefit from rising share prices. This report is not financial advice or a recomm...
a month ago
36
2

CME's Stock Is Cheap for the Wrong Reason

A high-quality exchange at a discounted multiple, supported by near-record trading activity, growing market data revenue, and consistent capital returns.

Nothing in this article is a recommendation to transact in any financial product what...

3 months ago
13
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Blackstone's Subs - Inside the Jersey Mike's IPO.

The Asset Light Advantage: Franchisees Fund the Growth, Company Collects the Royalties, but, Same Store Sales are Staling.

Jersey Mike’s is planning to go public, with Morgan Stanley as their lead-left book runner. Anecdotally, it is a str...

3 months ago
12
Paid

What CrowdStrike Shareholders Are Really Funding

How CrowdStrike's pay structure quietly moves money away from shareholders to employees

This article is covered by our Terms of Service, which you can read here.

4 months ago
7
1
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  • First Strike Research

    I write about finance, stocks (long+short) and event contracts. For stocks I focus on fundamentals backed by real intelligence (OSINT etc.) For event contracts - I developed a proprietary machine learning model to find mispriced Kalshi contracts.

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