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Michael Spencer

FX, macro & derivatives insights from 25+ years in global markets covering hedge funds across London and Asia. Writing on volatility, liquidity, positioning and trade expression. Japan & Classical Music enthusiast, & keeping fit.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues59Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

FX Correlation, Factor Structure and Regime Analysis

for DM FX

It has taken a few days but the impact of Warsh at Jackson Hole filtering through into FX - USD dominance is starting to re asset itself in some places, & today it was the turn of the CHF - see below

7 days ago
6
4
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USA: The AI Disequilubrium

and why the USD maybe the better trade than UST

Another good note from Andrew Hunt - https://www.hunteconomics.com/ and worth bearing in mind as we head into Jackson Hole and react to every word Warsh has to say.

12 days ago
2
1
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Deepwell Markets & Spencer - Macro Compass

The Week Ahead

Macro Compass — Week Ahead

15 days ago
1
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Gold

a very good update from Nicky Shiels at MKS Pamp

The USD debasement trade: a structural theme that has proven it can run, fire up retail into a full FOMO bubble and envelop Precious Metals taking them (and Bitcoin) to peaks in Oct 2025 & J...

17 days ago
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Macro Compass

The macro backdrop is moving closer to Goldilocks, but markets are increasingly positioned for it.

Compass

a month ago
2
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  • Michael Spencer

    FX, macro & derivatives insights from 25+ years in global markets covering hedge funds across London and Asia. Writing on volatility, liquidity, positioning and trade expression. Japan & Classical Music enthusiast, & keeping fit.

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