Nik Oza
Sports analyst with team experience (Hornets, Rays and Dodgers) and broader sports business experience (BLA). Now an independent sports data scientist, bettor and consultant sporadically writing about decision-making, analytics and finance in sports.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 20 | Founded | a year ago | Last Issue | a month ago |
| Active | |||||
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nikoza2.substack.comLatest Issues
2026 NBA Draft and Pre-Free Agency Analysis
Sunk Costs and Negotiating Leverage
At the 2026 NBA Trade Deadline, the Wizards traded essentially zero, or even negative, asset value for Trae Young on his previous deal. They got off Corey Kispert’s contract and the rest of CJ McColl...
2026 NBA Draft Big Board: Part 3
See Part 1 of my big board for an explanation of how I think about prospect EV, distributions of outcomes, and confidence in my evaluation, and for rankings and writeups of prospects 1-15 / tiers 1-7. See Part 2 of my big board for rankings...
2026 NBA Draft Big Board: Part 2
See Part 1 of my big board for an explanation of how I think about prospect EV, distributions of outcomes, and confidence in my evaluation, and for rankings and writeups of prospects 1-15 / tiers 1-7.
Tier 8 (16-20)
This tier contains...
2026 NBA Draft Big Board: Part 1
Preface
As I explained with my 2025 draft big board, I am ranking by expected value to a team. EV for potential stars is more dependent on tail outcomes where the player outperforms even a max contract. But EV for players without max c...
Is Ebuka Ok or e-Lite?
Ebuka Okorie is the 23rd-ranked prospect on the RookieScale.com consensus board1 for the 2026 NBA Draft. The NBA Draft Market is incorrect on its evaluation of Okorie. Here is why.
An Insanely Talented Class
Okorie is a member of a d...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Sports analyst with team experience (Hornets, Rays and Dodgers) and broader sports business experience (BLA). Now an independent sports data scientist, bettor and consultant sporadically writing about decision-making, analytics and finance in sports.
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