No Shots Fired
Ryan VoorheesA field guide to maritime gray zone coercion: how China uses coast guards, “fishing” fleets, artificial islands, and lawfare to change facts at sea without firing, and why it hits prices, trade, and security at home.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 24 | Founded | 4 years ago | Last Issue | 6 months ago |
| Active | |||||
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noshotsfired.substack.comLatest Issues
Floodlights on the Reef
A reef turned into infrastructure. The map changes first.
Floodlights First
Floodlights are the first tell. Runways come later.
Out on a shoal, a working deck burns white through the night where the chart still says reef. The dredger...
The Research Vessel in Orbit: When “Inspection” Becomes Pressure
No shots fired. Just two satellites holding an intentional closeness that turns space into a decision problem.
A satellite approaches another satellite, then comes back, close enough to turn a quiet day into a decision.
Move. Speak. Or le...
Paper Wins, Water Decides (Part I)
The South China Sea Might Seem Far Away
The South China Sea may feel distant, but the nine-dash line is a live challenge to how maritime rights are supposed to work. The nine-dash line is an intentionally under-specified U-shaped claim,...
When the Warship Becomes the Story
Night traffic in the Taiwan Strait, where a “routine” merchant track forces a naming fight and turns presence into a headline.
Presence Without the Headline Tax
Presence is not the hard part. Staying is.
Late evening in the Taiwan Str...
The Splash Test: When “Just Passing Through” Stops Working
Gear in the water turns “research” into a permission question.
A gray-zone operation does not need to win a fight. It needs to win a pause. In contested waters, the appearance of “research” can raise the reputational and political cost of...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
I write about how conflict works below war at sea, translating gray-zone incidents into clear signals you can track, explain, and act on.
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