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Paul’s Substack

Paul Jacobson

My personal Substack largely about the Canadian economy.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues96Founded3 years agoLast Issue2 days ago
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Latest Issues

Farm Input Costs through 2026-q1

Headline

Our CPI analysis looks more at food costs. Domestically-supplied food is dominated by supply effects. Demand management using the policy rate is less of an issue. We do have an issue with processing retail competition and margin...

2 days ago

Labour Force data through 2026-06

Headline

We should be grateful for the vast array of data products supplied by StatCan. My notes discuss what interests me this month and does not substitute for the Daily. The latter emphasizes national employment (and unemployment) rat...

9 days ago
2

Industry GDP -2026-05

Headline

Last month, the economic click bait was that Canada was in a technical recession. If you squinted to you see a drop in the quarterly data but only if the non-business (i.e. public government) was commingled with the business out...

19 days ago
1

Payroll Employment - 2026-04

Headline

The Daily plots payroll employment as its first chart to report that average employment in April is only 0.4% higher than a year ago. It is not an exciting picture. Part-time movement has been a big issue. Combining hours with e...

24 days ago

CPI Inflation through 2026-05

Headlines

The speed of price change is presumed to affect the efficiency of economic decision making. An ill-planned war does not help either. Measured on a y/y basis, the aggregate change increased from 2.8% to 3.2%, Measured over a 6mo...

a month ago

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  • Paul Jacobson

    Retired Economist - making his analysis available as a public service.

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