Peter’s Substack
Peter KellnerMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 100 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 15 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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kellnerp.substack.comLatest Issues
Dear Nigel: beware the fragility factor
Good morning. Here is the news. Reform has fallen behind both Labour and the Conservatives. Its 18 per cent vote share is the worst recorded by any pollster since November 2024.
Yesterday’s Mail on Sunday carried Michael Ashcroft’s report...
Relief for Labour: trouble for Reform
So much for the fears earlier this year that the price Labour would pay for allowing Andy Burnham back into parliament would be a Reform mayor of Greater Manchester. In the end it wasn’t even close. Labour’s Bev Craig led Reform’s Sian Astl...
Burnham’s bounce: will it last?
Labour has probably edged ahead of Reform. Sorry about the “probably”. I suspect I have broken some writer’s rule that it conveys weakness and should never appear in the first sentence. But here it matters. Polls seldom agree precisely with...
Burnham’s biggest problem: ungrateful voters
The trees can wait. Let us first inspect the wood. If Andy Burnham is to succeed as prime minister, he needs not just individual policies that work but an overall story that revives public confidence in politics itself.
In his first speech...
The myth of ever-more unpopular prime ministers
It must be true. Andy Burnham is doomed. Why else would we be told so often that each of the last five prime ministers has set a new record for being the least popular occupant of that office? It follows that Burnham is heading to Downing S...
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