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Peter’s Substack

Peter Kellner

My personal Substack

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues105Founded2 years agoLast Issue3 days ago
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Latest Issues

How tactical voting could destroy Reform…

Time to puncture Reform’s bubble. Two weeks ago I showed how the party could gain dozens of extra seats if its new wealth enabled it to generate just three percentage points more support. This week, I can report new research that could not...

3 days ago
32
16

Labour is more middle class than ever

A promise or, if you prefer, a warning. This post contains lots of numbers. Let’s dive straight in.

New research by Nortstat has important information for all our national parties. It finds that

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8 days ago
34
6

How Reform’s war chest threatens democracy

Money isn’t everything in politics. In 1997, James Goldsmith’s Referendum Party spent far more money than any other on its election campaign - £35 million (in today’s money, close to the £72 million the Reform Party has just been given). Th...

17 days ago
22
10

A by-election that the Greens should win

According to the bookmakers Labour is odds-on to win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. Are they right?

This is a particular kind of contest. When Labour is in government and defends one of its English strongholds, its main opponent h...

23 days ago
40
4

Solved: the mystery of Badenoch’s wobbly ratings

“After the break, we shall be speaking to Kemi Badenoch”. This is a sentence that television producers dread. They fear it will put viewers off. Leaders of stumbling opposition parties seldom attract large audiences. Yet Badenoch’s fortunes...

a month ago
40
5

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