Peter’s Substack
Peter KellnerMy personal Substack
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 102 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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kellnerp.substack.comLatest Issues
A by-election that the Greens should win
According to the bookmakers Labour is odds-on to win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. Are they right?
This is a particular kind of contest. When Labour is in government and defends one of its English strongholds, its main opponent h...
Solved: the mystery of Badenoch’s wobbly ratings
“After the break, we shall be speaking to Kemi Badenoch”. This is a sentence that television producers dread. They fear it will put viewers off. Leaders of stumbling opposition parties seldom attract large audiences. Yet Badenoch’s fortunes...
Dear Nigel: beware the fragility factor
Good morning. Here is the news. Reform has fallen behind both Labour and the Conservatives. Its 18 per cent vote share is the worst recorded by any pollster since November 2024.
Yesterday’s Mail on Sunday carried Michael Ashcroft’s report...
Relief for Labour: trouble for Reform
So much for the fears earlier this year that the price Labour would pay for allowing Andy Burnham back into parliament would be a Reform mayor of Greater Manchester. In the end it wasn’t even close. Labour’s Bev Craig led Reform’s Sian Astl...
Burnham’s bounce: will it last?
Labour has probably edged ahead of Reform. Sorry about the “probably”. I suspect I have broken some writer’s rule that it conveys weakness and should never appear in the first sentence. But here it matters. Polls seldom agree precisely with...
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