
My personal Substack
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 105 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 3 days ago |
| Active | |||||

Time to puncture Reform’s bubble. Two weeks ago I showed how the party could gain dozens of extra seats if its new wealth enabled it to generate just three percentage points more support. This week, I can report new research that could not...
A promise or, if you prefer, a warning. This post contains lots of numbers. Let’s dive straight in.
New research by Nortstat has important information for all our national parties. It finds that
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Money isn’t everything in politics. In 1997, James Goldsmith’s Referendum Party spent far more money than any other on its election campaign - £35 million (in today’s money, close to the £72 million the Reform Party has just been given). Th...
According to the bookmakers Labour is odds-on to win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. Are they right?
This is a particular kind of contest. When Labour is in government and defends one of its English strongholds, its main opponent h...
“After the break, we shall be speaking to Kemi Badenoch”. This is a sentence that television producers dread. They fear it will put viewers off. Leaders of stumbling opposition parties seldom attract large audiences. Yet Badenoch’s fortunes...
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