Quantdata Intelligence
Quantdata Intelligence — macro that calls it before the print, not after.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 88 | Founded | 3 months ago | Last Issue | 7 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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quantdata.substack.comLatest Issues
Monday Marks
The open calls
The hike was wrong, and aimed at the wrong economy. Registered Wednesday night, printed Thursday, graded 16 December. Two legs.
The first is the diagnosis: October’s core PCE at 3.0 or lower with the Dallas trimm...
The right fear, the wrong economy
On Wednesday at 2:00 the Federal Reserve raised its rate a quarter point, to a range of 3.75 to 4.00 percent, by twelve votes to none.
Our call, registered on 21 June, was no hike in 2026. It is lost, and it was graded as lost that aftern...
The two likeliest boxes, sector by sector
Our four boxes for Wednesday: the Fed holds or hikes, across the 30 year above 5.31 or contained. Live weights A 28, B 18, C 12, D 42.
A and D are 70 percent of the map and they share a row: the long end above the line, where it cl...
Monday Marks
The open calls
No rate hike in 2026. Registered in June. Swaps price a hike on Wednesday near 90 percent, per Bloomberg. Friday’s core inflation print was 0.3 against the 0.2 we had set as the condition for a hold, the Michigan s...
The Hall of Mirrors
The count printed first
The 30 year Treasury closed at 5.37 percent on Thursday, September 10, on the Treasury’s own daily yield table, and at 5.35 on Friday.
On August 27 we wrote that it would print above 5.31 on an official...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Quantdata Intelligence — macro that calls it before the print, not after. Macro, the Fed, and the AI complex, called before the print and graded after. Written by a portfolio manager. Every call pre-registered, every result logged.
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