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Reducing Uncertainty

Madison Parkhill

Clear, evidence-based insights on sports, strategy, and life — one read at a time.

Platform
Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesTwice weekly
Issues154Founded4 years agoLast Issue2 days ago
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Latest Issues

Walking Through a Big Dog Draft

I just completed my first high stakes draft of the year, a $500 Big Dog. The Big Dog top prize is $200K to first, with an advance structure of:

  • 2/12 in the regular season

  • 1/6

  • 1/6

  • 10 person final (min prize of $10,000)...

2 days ago

Top Lines: What I’m Writing, Thinking, and Reading

What I’m Writing

  • 🧠 Top Lines — publishing every 1-2 weeks

  • 🏈An Array of Assorted Best Ball Takes — published June 8

  • 🤖 The Pope’s Encyclical on Artificial Intelligence — published June 7

  • 🏈 Best Ball Contests I’m Ente...

15 days ago
2

An Array of Assorted Best Ball Takes

Madison explores the key takeaways from his first few hundred drafts, including A.J. Brown, George Pickens, Josh Downs, Zero RB, and if he take a 3rd QB.

As I finish up my first few hundred slow drafts, I’ve developed stronger opinions abo...

21 days ago
5
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The Pope's Encyclical on Artificial Intelligence

Up front, I want to give the Pope and the Vatican kudos for breadth and depth of the Encyclical. Standing at 42,000 words, it is a tour de force, and not simply an opinion piece on the state and future of AI. It’s a well-researched piece of...

22 days ago
5

Top Lines: What I’m Writing, Thinking, and Reading

What I’m Writing

  • 🧠 Top Lines — publishing every 1-2 weeks

  • 🏈Best Ball Contests I’m Entering in May and June — published May 16

  • 🏈 The Chargers are My First Core Bet of 2026 — published May 11

  • 🏈 The 2026 Underdog Best...

a month ago
2
1

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