
A blog about adaptive systems, digital simulation, and the Ukraine War. Non-partisan, independent, allied with Ukraine.
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 260 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 12 days ago |
| Active | |||||

It sure looks like this is it.
The major Ukrainian counteroffensive that I’ve been forecasting all year is definitely happening. The thing has apparently been underway for several weeks, coming right on schedule.
First indicators appear...
Evidence is rapidly accumulating: the Ukrainians are up to their old tricks, if with a new paint job for the age of drone. Counteroffensive operations have been ramping up steadily since early this year, pretty much in sync with the escalat...
August is over, and with it Moscow’s only hope of scoring a breakthrough in 2026. No doubt assault operations will intensify as the weather worsens and before the leaves come off the vegetation, but orc chances of meaningful success at this...
Ukraine celebrates thirty-five years of independence this week, and despite the ongoing pain of this seemingly endless war, Ukraine’s future has never been brighter.
May not feel like it there, especially if you’ve been hiding from killer...
The Ukrainians made official this week what open source data had long suggested was underway: a sustained counteroffensive on the Oleksandrivka front, which I usually call the Vovcha sector of the Zaporizhzhia front. Gains are small in rela...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Author. Systems nerd. World Designer. Cat fanatic.
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