
An ex–Goldman Sachs desk head's daily market note, translating what actually moves markets into plain English for people who want to build wealth, not gamble.
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Wednesday’s tells mostly went the bulls’ way, though not always for the reasons I was expecting. SPY never came near 750: the low was 759.96, 43c above the 50-day, and 760 came quickly and held. The 2yr was meant to tell us whether the mark...
Tuesday’s tells came back mostly bearish. Retail sales printed +1.2% against +0.7% expected, but consumer stocks got sold again anyway. The FOMC delivered a 25bp hike with the dots at one more hike for 2026, and Warsh said neither “recalibr...
Monday’s tell came back with a split decision. SMH traded 540.10 at the low, 10 cents above the support level, and closed 542.11, so the shelf survived yet another test… not yet a breakdown, not a spring either. SPY lost 760 on the close fo...
Monday’s tells came back mostly in the market’s favour. The Nasdaq-vs-S&P gap did close somewhat: the QQQs finished -0.80% vs -0.45% for SPY (from a 0.8% gap on Sunday night). So a pyjama trade it was at the index level… though read point 1...
Friday’s tells came back half-right. Core CPI printed 0.3% against a 0.2% consensus, hike odds went from 70% to 86%, and the 2yr closed at 4.63%, above the 4.60% level I said would mean the Fed had better get on with it. That was the half I...
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The writers behind this newsletter.
Ex-Goldman Sachs desk head, Jeet Kune Do instructor, bestselling author of The Tao of Trading. I break down the market each day so you can trade it, not argue about it. Daily desk notes, weekly long-form. Trade setups, not opinions.
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