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The Adaptive Trader's Notes

Fabio La Manna

The Adaptive Trader’s Notes explores markets through empirical observation and structural research, treating experience as data and frameworks as conditional.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesTwice weekly
Issues47Foundeda year agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

Pre-Market Note | October 27, 2026

Hello readers,

In yesterday’s note I left both indices pinned to their Put Walls, at the lower edges of the ranges they have been building since the summer, and I wrote that an undercut is not a breakdown until price accepts below. Price d...

4 days ago
4

Pre-Market Note | October 26, 2026

Dear readers,

In the last note, on Thursday 22nd, I left you with a clear if/then. I wrote: “If the open brings selling, the first thing I watch in QQQ is that 710 POC. In SPY it is whether the 0DTE Put Wall at 765 holds or shifts lower du...

5 days ago
4
2

Pre-Market Note | October 22, 2026

Hello readers,

Yesterday SPY gave us a clean options-driven session. It bounced from near the 0DTE flip (around 768.5), pushed through 773, the strike with the highest net gamma, and stabilized there into the close, around 773. This is the...

9 days ago
6
2

Pre-Market Note | October 21, 2026

Hello readers,

Yesterday gave us the wider day that Monday’s narrow session pointed to. SPY ranged 8.04 points (1.05%), about 1.4x its 20-day average day and well above Monday’s 4.64. QQQ ranged 12.36 points, about 1.5x its own average. Th...

10 days ago
4

Pre-Market Note | October 20, 2026

Hello readers,

Markets were quiet yesterday, and SPY traded pinned between the 0DTE Call Wall and Put Wall. My Market Regime Score recovered a few points, from -4.55 to -3.89, but the conditions are unchanged. The tails are still wide on b...

11 days ago
5

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  • Fabio La Manna

    Research-driven equity & options trader. I study market structure, volatility & risk through data, statistics & real-world trading. SSRN: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=9724212. No investment advice.

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