Telok Ayer Macroeconomics
Awang UsmanProviding Thought Provoking and Unbiased Views on Singapore and Asia Macro
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 42 | Founded | 2 years ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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telokayermacro.substack.comLatest Issues
SGD Topside Constrained by Policy with Emerging Convexity
SGD faces an interesting regime going into the July MAS meeting. In this article, I argue that MAS policy is still loose, but unevenly so. This gives them space to tighten as the growth-inflation risks tilt towards price stability amid high...
Shrugging Off a Historic Hawkish Sweep in Markets This Week
This week was a real doozy, with decisions from the BOJ, the Fed, the RBA, the BOE and three EM Asian central banks. Almost all featured a more hawkish attitude. As I’ve written in the pages before, hawkish rate decisions are unlikely to sp...
Volatility Roars Back in Market This Week
The spotlight is back on the EM Asian central banks this week, with a healthy number choosing to pursue non-monetary policy measures to attract inflows and stabilise their FX. I am quite sceptical that these can work in the long run, althou...
The Baht's Broken Buffers: Why Thai Adjustment Channels are Closing
The impact of the Iran War on EM Asia has been well discussed, as the majority of its economies are very dependent on oil imports. This is especially true for Thailand, which has a small oil extraction sector but mainly relies on foreign su...
Fragile Optimism Across Rates and Equities In Markets This Week
This week features a variety of new developments. A hawkish hold by BoK, multiple fuel price hikes in India, strong industrial profits in China, NPS raising domestic equity allocation, Singapore’s robust 6.0% 1Q26 final GDP, and Thailand’s...
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