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The Black Line

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Making sense of a changing world. Less noise, more signal.

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Issues139Foundeda year agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Midterms Change the Terms of Trump’s Power

Which decisions depend on Congress, which presidential tools remain available, and why November’s political signal arrives before the new lawmakers begin their terms.

On May 2, 2019, 53 senators voted to override Donald Trump’s veto of a r...

7 days ago
32
3

Trump Changes the Rules. Companies Change Their Plans.

Trump announces tariffs, April 2025. Photo: Daniel Torok

Black Paper: Trump’s Tariffs and the Cost of Changing Rules

How to distinguish the cost of a tariff from the cost of committing before the rules are settled.

The Ground

Contai...

9 days ago
32
5

India Does Not Need to Stop Pakistan’s Water

Salal Dam on the Chenab River, 2017.

Black Paper: India Does Not Need to Stop Pakistan’s Water

The difference between receiving enough water over a year and receiving it when it matters.

The Water Has a Deadline

Water delivered afte...

11 days ago
41

Anduril’s Test Is Delivery

Black Paper: Anduril’s Test Is Delivery

What Anduril’s expanding responsibilities reveal about the distance between military software, working weapons and sustained production.

The Ground

The first aircraft is the beginning of a much...

13 days ago
35
2

How Much Time Can the Dollar Buy America?

U.S. Capitol, 2006. Photo: David Iliff


Black Paper: How Much Time Can the Dollar Buy America?

How to distinguish a country’s capacity to keep borrowing from its capacity to keep choosing.


The Ground

Imagine a Treasury s...

15 days ago
44
2

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