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The Capital Allocator's Substack

The Capital Allocator

My personal Substack

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Issues18Founded4 months agoLast Issue9 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Base Rate Blindness: Why We Ignore the Odds

Part 6 of Season 2: The Decision-Making Investor

Have you ever noticed how every couple at their wedding is absolutely convinced they are going to be together forever?

Even though we all know that many marriages eventually end in divorce,...

9 days ago
2

The Checklist Advantage: Why Smart People Forget the Basics

Part 5 of Season 2: The Decision-Making Investor

In October 1935, the United States Army held a flight competition in Ohio. They were looking for the next generation of long-range bombers.

Boeing showed up with the Model 299. It was a mas...

16 days ago

The Expertise Trap: Why Being Brilliant in Your Career Makes You Vulnerable

Part 4 of Season 2: The Decision-Making Investor

Sir Arthur Conan Doyle was a trained physician and one of the most brilliant writers of his generation. He created Sherlock Holmes, the ultimate literary symbol of logic, reason, and scienti...

24 days ago
1

The Survivorship Trap: Why You Should Study the Graveyard

Part 3 of Season 2: The Decision-Making Investor

Walk into any bookstore and look at the business section.

You will see hundreds of books written by billionaires and market gurus. They all tell a very similar story: They made a massive, c...

a month ago
1

The Outcome Trap: Why the Scoreboard is Lying to You

Part 2 of Season 2: The Decision-Making Investor

Imagine a man goes to a bar, drinks far too much, and decides to drive himself home. He speeds down the highway, runs a red light, and miraculously pulls into his driveway without a scratch....

a month ago
2

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  • The Capital Allocator

    Exploring behavioral finance, portfolio architecture, and underfollowed businesses through the lens of capital allocation. Complexity attracts attention. Simplicity compounds.

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