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Value Investing

Frameworks for thinking like a value investor, moats, valuation, capital allocation, and the mistakes along the way. No signals, no hype.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues33Founded7 months agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

The Mistake Every Value Investor Makes With Dividend Stocks (Including Me)

There is a specific kind of value investor mistake that looks nothing like a mistake at the time.

The stock has a recognizable name. The business has been operating for decades. The dividend has been paid without interruption for years, so...

6 days ago
6
4

Why You Keep Buying Compounders Too Late (And How to Find Them Earlier)

The best entry points into compounding businesses come before the compounding is visible. Six specific financial and competitive fingerprints, including gross margin sequencing, incremental ROIC, and competitive widening in the weakest segm...

13 days ago
11
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How I Think About Position Sizing When I'm Not Sure: A Framework for Partial Conviction

Position sizing when you are confident is straightforward. You have done the work, the business quality is clear, the valuation is attractive, and the downside scenario is one you can accept. You size it as a core position. The conviction d...

20 days ago
7
3

Why the Businesses That Look Strongest Are Often the Ones to Watch Most Carefully

Four signals that precede moat erosion before it reaches earnings, pricing behavior, management language, competitor transcripts, and incremental ROIC.

The most expensive mistake in long-term investing is not paying too much for a mediocre...

a month ago
6
Paid

How I Think Before Every Investment Decision: 5 Frameworks That Actually Work

Charlie Munger spent most of his life arguing that the best investors are not the ones with the most information. They are the ones with the best thinking tools.

His prescription was specific: build a latticework of mental models drawn fro...

a month ago
16
4

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  • Value Investing

    Helping long-term investors build wealth through value investing frameworks, valuation insights, and timeless mental models. Writing about great businesses, undervalued opportunities, intrinsic value, and margin of safety.

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