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Value Investing

Frameworks for thinking like a value investor, moats, valuation, capital allocation, and the mistakes along the way. No signals, no hype.

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PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues30Founded6 months agoLast Issue2 days ago
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Latest Issues

Why the Businesses That Look Strongest Are Often the Ones to Watch Most Carefully

Four signals that precede moat erosion before it reaches earnings, pricing behavior, management language, competitor transcripts, and incremental ROIC.

The most expensive mistake in long-term investing is not paying too much for a mediocre...

2 days ago
2
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How I Think Before Every Investment Decision: 5 Frameworks That Actually Work

Charlie Munger spent most of his life arguing that the best investors are not the ones with the most information. They are the ones with the best thinking tools.

His prescription was specific: build a latticework of mental models drawn fro...

9 days ago
13
2

The Cyclical Business Valuation Playbook: Why Standard Multiples Lie and How to Use Mid-Cycle Earnings Instead

Standard multiples give the wrong signal in cyclical businesses, cheap at the peak, expensive at the trough. A complete valuation playbook: mid-cycle earnings, replacement cost floors, trough survival tests, and when to actually buy.

The m...

16 days ago
17
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How I Build a Bear Case First: The Reverse Engineering Process That Keeps Me From Falling in Love With a Stock

There is a particular kind of investor mistake that has a specific texture.

It does not feel like a mistake when you are making it. The business is genuinely good. The industry is attractive. The management team has a strong track record....

23 days ago
9
8

What the Footnotes Told Me: A Case-by-Case Breakdown of Disclosures That Changed My Valuation

The income statement is what management wants you to see. The footnotes are what the accounting standards require them to show you.

There is a moment in reading a 10-K that I have come to look for deliberately.

a month ago
6
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  • Value Investing

    Helping long-term investors build wealth through value investing frameworks, valuation insights, and timeless mental models. Writing about great businesses, undervalued opportunities, intrinsic value, and margin of safety.

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