The Categorical Imperative
Clay GraubardPredictions, geopolitics, and technology (mostly).
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Infrequently |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 4 | Subscribers | Read | thecategoricalimperative.substack.c... |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Ukraine is Falling. The end is Near.
Source: Metaculus
You Can't Ignore the Consequences of Great Power Conflict.
1 Twelve days ago, Russia began its invasion of Ukraine. In the days since, Andrew and I have tracked relevant forecasts, collected signals, and debated the high-order questions defining the latest chapter in the Russo-Ukrainian War. In tod...
We are at war. It is time to declare one.
1 Coronavirus — echoing the immortal words of Joe Biden — is a big fucking deal. The most recent developments would tell you as much.
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Authors
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Forecasting, geopolitics, and other scattered things.
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