The Counterfactual
Sean TrottCognitive Science, statistics, AI.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 101 | Subscribers | Read | seantrott.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
The necessity (and complexity) of fixed points in measurement
An ongoing challenge in developing a reliable science of large language models (LLMs) is understanding and predicting their behavior. This is, in part, a problem of measurement—in both an empirical and a philosophical sense. Long-time reade...
Healthy minds and sick souls
As some readers might know, I occasionally write about books I’m reading over at The Leaky Margin. In some cases, when those essays touch on themes that are also relevant to themes I discuss at The Counterfactual, I post them here too. This...
Calibrating expectations
Early on in graduate school, I was interested in trust: specifically, the (normative) question of how much to trust new technologies enabled by machine learning (ML), and the (descriptive) question of which factors led individuals to trust ...
Evaluating empirical claims: practical advice
Claims about the world and its inhabitants abound, both in the scholarly literature and in public discourse. One of the most important things a person engaging with these claims can do is learn how to evaluate them, sometimes (though not al...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Assistant Professor at UC San Diego.
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