Exploring the intersection of politics & data with Patrick Ruffini
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 215 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 5 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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patrickruffini.comLatest Issues
Fall of the Resistance
Remember the resistance? These were the people who during Trump 1.0 marched in pink hats in the shape of reproductive organs and lit Robert Mueller prayer candles. To them, democracy versus authoritarianism was the central political conflic...
The 2026 models are here
No. 405 | June 19, 2026
🇺🇲 Split Ticket’s new House model
Split Ticket’s model for The Argument finds Democrats with a strong advantage in the House (86% chance of majority) but Republicans favored in the Senate (56%).
Rather than...
What unlikely voters think
No. 404 | June 12, 2026
📊 Where unlikely voters differ the most from likely voters
Marquette Law School poll’s Charles Franklin has published a great summary table breaking down views on various topics between the likely, registered,...
Is Blexas un-canceled?
Historic lows for incumbents, the base matters more than ever, the politics of 18-year olds, the cheapest races, people who use AI like it, the FiveThirtyEight archive, booming prediction markets
No. 403 | May 29, 2026
The vanishing battleground
From 239-196 to 222-113, Reform UK's conquest, the phones killing the future, collapsing reading scores, occupational bubbles, DDHQ precinct maps, auto-judgmental maps, World Cup around the corner
No. 402 | May 22, 2026
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Pollster at Echelon Insights, author of PARTY OF THE PEOPLE
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