I wrote memos for senior government officials to make better policy decisions. Now I write them to help people like you understand our world.
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25.
Today, we will perform the obligatory American liturgy.
Flags. Photographs. Television montages. Politicians wearing solemn expressions. And, inevitably, those two words:
Never Forget.
Twenty-five years.
For the vast majority of America...
For 2026, Vote Like Failure Is an Option
I’m going to say something that may be controversial:
If you have a practical alternative to voting by mail in 2026, I would use it.
Notice what I am not saying.
I am not saying mail ballots are presently illegal. They aren’t.
I am not...
Me versus AI: When will the US-Iran War end?
“A man ain’t nothin’ but a man, but before I let your steam drill beat me down, I’ll die with a hammer in my hand”
John Henry
I use large language models constantly.
I use them in my analysis of world events, in the relocation modeling w...
Assume Nothing Changes. Now What?
Every American who sees the numbers clearly ends up, sooner or later, in the same posture: waiting.
Every American who sees the numbers clearly ends up, sooner or later, in the same posture: waiting.
The Middleman Is the Product
The American health intermediary does not mediate risk — absorbing it, owning it, engineering the world to reduce it. It mediates responsibility.
Insurance is one of the finest ideas civilization ever produced. It deserves a moment of resp...
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Writer | Strategist | Media Founder I write The Long Memo, a Substack publication on politics, collapse, and insight into institutional collapse.
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