The Overshoot
Matthew C. Klein, Chris MarshMaking sense of the global economy and financial markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 285 | Subscribers | Read | theovershoot.co |
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| #74 | |
| #56 |
Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Arbitrary U.S. Tariffs Are Gone. What's Next?
The Supreme Court has ruled that the President cannot use "emergency" authority to impose tariffs at will. Inflation is still going to be a problem.
Australia Is Raising Rates. Why Not the Fed?
The U.S. economy is accelerating, yet policymakers are still unreasonably concerned about downside risks.
Russian War Spending May be Maxed Out
The official budget deficit surged last year, as did off-balance sheet military spending via the banking system and unpaid bills. That might be tough to sustain, especially with lower oil revenues.
Is the Market Underpricing the Risk of Fed Hikes?
The incoming data are undermining the case for lowering rates, which means that the 0% implied probability of hikes may be too low. And that is before considering backlash to Trump's attacks.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Trying to understand how things work, with a focus on economics, finance, and history.
Senior Adviser Exante Data. The artist formerly known as The General Theorist.
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