Making sense of the global economy and financial markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 294 | Founded | 5 years ago | Last Issue | 6 days ago |
| Active | |||||
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theovershoot.coLatest Issues
The U.S. Job Market is (Still) Inflationary
Wage growth is now accelerating slightly, supporting the quickening of "supercore" service price increases. Plus: more on the health care wage slowdown mystery.
I was fortunate to attend two fascinating conferences in the Bay Area last wee...
The Growth Impulse from the Data Center Boom
There is much less than meets the eye, although the official numbers may also be undercounting some of what is happening.
It is convenient that Amazon, Google, Microsoft, and Meta all reported their 2026Q1 results the night before the Bure...
"Look Through" the Hormuz Shock if You Want. U.S. Inflation is Still Running Hot.
A wide range of underlying measures indicates that prices are rising too fast to be consistent with the Fed's alleged 2% yearly target. Plus: explaining the CPI-PCE gap.
I was only away in Yosemite for a week, but somehow that was long eno...
Is U.S. Wage Growth Slowing Or Not?
Something strange is happening with wages in healthcare and private education.
The average wage of the typical American worker rose by just 3% over the past six months on a seasonally-adjusted basis. That would be right in line with the pr...
Russia's Iran War Windfall in Perspective
As long as financial sanctions and export controls remain in place, the aggressor's gains from higher oil and gas prices will be limited.
At current prices, the Russian government’s energy-related tax revenues are probably running about 3x...
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Trying to understand how things work, with a focus on economics, finance, and history.
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