The Overshoot
Matthew C. Klein, Chris MarshMaking sense of the global economy and financial markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 290 | Subscribers | Read | theovershoot.co |
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| #64 | |
| #58 |
Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Russia's Iran War Windfall in Perspective
As long as financial sanctions and export controls remain in place, the aggressor's gains from higher oil and gas prices will be limited.
The Fed is Misreading the Inflation Risks
Inflation was getting worse *before the war* across a broad range of categories. Yet Fed officials are still blaming "one-time things".
Markets Are Still Sanguine About the Oil Outlook
Prior oil shocks in 1973 and 1979 involved far larger price increases than what we have seen so far. Yet this shock involves a hit to volumes that is unprecedented outside of the pandemic.
If You Thought the Inflation Outlook Was Bad Before...
Quantifying its size is impossible given how little we know about when and how this will end, but the direction of the impact is obvious. The big question is whether long-term beliefs will shift.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Trying to understand how things work, with a focus on economics, finance, and history.
Senior Adviser Exante Data. The artist formerly known as The General Theorist.
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