The Overshoot
Matthew C. Klein, Chris MarshMaking sense of the global economy and financial markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 270 | Subscribers | Read | theovershoot.co |
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| #153 | |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
U.S. Job Market Still (Surprisingly?) Good. Inflation Risk Is Paramount.
Core measures of labor demand remain strong, while wage growth is holding steady (or re-accelerating). But there are a few pockets of weakness that bear watching. Plus: China's investment slowdown.
What is the Federal Reserve Endgame?
Suborning the central bank will obviously have implications for monetary policy. But the power that could be exercised via regulatory and supervisory control of the banking system is even greater.
The Macro Impact of AI on GDP
Even if the underlying technology turned out to be mostly useless, the spending occurring right now is massive. And it may not be fully captured in the official GDP numbers.
Inflation Is Moving the Wrong Way
Even if we try to "look through" the impact of tariffs, which could be unwise, the inflationary trend remains persistently faster than before the pandemic, and possibly faster than in 2024.
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Other publications recommended by the authors of this newsletter.
Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Trying to understand how things work, with a focus on economics, finance, and history.
Senior Adviser Exante Data. The artist formerly known as The General Theorist.
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