The Overshoot
Matthew C. KleinMaking sense of the global economy and financial markets
| Platform |  | Pricing | Freemium | Publishes | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 235 | Subscribers | Read | theovershoot.co |
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| #206 | |
| #27 |
Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Christopher Waller on Wages, Productivity, and Inflation
A few lines from his most recent speech and subsequent Q&A that caught my attention.
The U.S. Economy Is Not Slowing Down
That is not a problem, but it has implications for inflation and interest rates. Plus: inside the September 2024 NIPA revisions.
U.S. Inflation Is Still Hotter than Pre-Pandemic. And that's Okay.
Underlying measures of prices are still rising about one percentage point or so faster than they were in 2017-2019. But there is nothing wrong with this new normal, even if may not be fully priced in.
The Case for Huge Fed Rate Cuts Up Front (And Maybe Some Hikes Later)
The goal should be getting to "neutral" as quickly as possible. Since no one knows where that is, optimal policy should consist of moving down quickly while preserving the option to correct later.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Trying to understand how things work, with a focus on economics, finance, and history.
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