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The Manley Market Memo

J. Lawrence Manley, CFA

We analyze the economy and financial markets through the lens of an experienced contrarian value investor. We believe that capital preservation is paramount, and valuation is the best measure of an asset’s long-term expected return.

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Latest Issues

The Manley Macro Memo

Executive Summary:

A resilient economy, strong corporate profits, and the Fed’s three additional interest rate cuts drove the S&P 500 to an all-time high in the fourth quarter. In this risk-on environment, the S&P 500 advanced 2.7% in th...

4 months ago
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The Manley Macro Memo

Executive Summary:

Stocks performed well in the third quarter as trade tensions eased and the economy proved resilient despite lingering uncertainty from tariffs, elevated inflation, and slowing labor market growth. Investors drove equit...

7 months ago
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The Manley Macro Memo

Executive Summary:

The second quarter of 2025 experienced significant volatility and large market fluctuations. Following a slight loss in the first quarter, stock prices declined sharply after President Trump unveiled his "Liberation D...

10 months ago
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The Manley Macro Memo

Executive Summary:

The S&P 500 reached an all-time high in mid-February, then fell by approximately 10%, ending the first quarter down 4.6%, marking its worst quarter since Q3 2022. The decline was driven by economic uncertainty due to t...

a year ago
2

The Manley Macro Memo

Executive Summary:

Equity markets had a mixed performance in Q4 2024. The S&P 500 rose 2.5%, but the equal-weight S&P 500 and S&P 600 Small-cap indexes fell by 1.9% and 0.5%. Foreign markets also struggled, with the MSCI EAFE Internatio...

a year ago
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  • J. Lawrence Manley, CFA

    I am a value investor and a Registered Investment Advisor with more than 25 years of investment experience. I discuss the economy and financial markets from a value investing perspective to help people meet their investment goals and retire well.

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