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The Pareto Trading Pit

Portfolio Manager and Nerd for Rule-based Trading Strategies.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues15Founded4 months agoLast Issue7 days ago
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Latest Issues

Monthly Close #3: "Stocks must go down, because there is a bubble."

Momentum, Seasonality, Sentiment.

Key Summary:

7 days ago
3
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Most Bond Traders Ignore Treasury Spillovers. That May Be a Mistake.

How a simple Treasury-to-Bund strategy generated 4% annualized returns + collateral income.

The U.S. Treasury market is the most important bond market on the planet.

10 days ago
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A 7.6% CAGR Portfolio Sleeve Built on Forced Institutional Buying

Exploiting recurring month-end portfolio adjustments between Stocks and Bonds.

Most market participants think of institutional investors as rational, forward-looking optimizers.

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The Edge Everyone Sees — But Nobody Trades

A 7.8% CAGR calendar effect in US and European bonds — simple on the surface, persistent in the data, and far less obvious once you try to break it.

Welcome back to The Pareto Trading Pit,

a month ago
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Monthly Close #2: Why “Sell in May” Is Wrong (Again)

Momentum, seasonality, and why this rally may not be over

Happy Labour Day

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  • The Pareto Trading Pit

    Fixed Income PM. This newsletter is everything I can't do at work. Completely unconstrained, no Mandates, no Committees. Building systematic strategies. Deploying real capital. If a backtest can't survive slippage and commissions, I say so.

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