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The Pareto Trading Pit

Portfolio Manager and Nerd for Rule-based Trading Strategies.

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Substack
PricingFreemiumPublishesWeekly
Issues13Founded4 months agoLast Issue6 days ago
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Latest Issues

A 7.6% CAGR Portfolio Sleeve Built on Forced Institutional Buying

Exploiting recurring month-end portfolio adjustments between Stocks and Bonds.

Most market participants think of institutional investors as rational, forward-looking optimizers.

6 days ago
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The Edge Everyone Sees — But Nobody Trades

A 7.8% CAGR calendar effect in US and European bonds — simple on the surface, persistent in the data, and far less obvious once you try to break it.

Welcome back to The Pareto Trading Pit,

16 days ago
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Monthly Close #2: Why “Sell in May” Is Wrong (Again)

Momentum, seasonality, and why this rally may not be over

Happy Labour Day

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The Broker’s Secret: Why Your "Turnaround Tuesday" Strategy Is Actually A Charity For Your Broker. And how to fix it with this 1 rule.

Discover the mechanical 'Hump-Day' adjustment that stops the transaction-cost bleed and turns your fragile retail anomaly into a robust trading system.

Turnaround Tuesday is one of those anomalies that most traders have heard of. In the Pi...

24 days ago
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Dead Bombers & Zombie Coins: The Ugly Truth about backtesting Systematic Cryptocurrency Momentum in 2026

What a WWII mathematician can teach you about 2026 Crypto Momentum. Why your "winning" strategy turned to "Meh" after adjusting for Path Dependency.

Act #3 Welcome back to Part #3 of our Momentum-Mini-Series, and welcome to everyone who jo...

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  • The Pareto Trading Pit

    Fixed Income PM. This newsletter is everything I can't do at work. Completely unconstrained, no Mandates, no Committees. Building systematic strategies. Deploying real capital. If a backtest can't survive slippage and commissions, I say so.

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