
Dysgenics, forecasting, machine learning, sociology, physiognomy, IQ, simulations
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This post (written by me) is the culmination of a collaboration with Davide Piffer, check out his substack.
AI capabilities are accelerating. Aggregate benchmark performance shows the rate of progress roughly doubling since 2024.
The duration of the longest task AI can autonomously complete (METR) doubles every 4 months.
On...
!!!Warning. Substack does not support inline LATEX equations or code blocks! If this is as annoying to you as it is to me, you can visit my website’s mirror post, which does support it.!!!
Note, this post was 90% written by Gemini 2.5 Pro as an experiment. All data was sourced by me, as were the plots, model designs.
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The writers behind this newsletter.
IQ, genetics, dysgenics, forecasts, machine learning, sociology, physiognomy
I have worked in population genetics for the last ten years, besides chronobiology, evolutionary psychology, creativity, and behavioural genetics. My work has been published in peer-reviewed journals
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