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Welcome to Uncertainty

Philippe Silberzahn

My articles unpack an invisible mental model - the one that shapes our decisions without us even realizing it. Disruptive innovation, transformation, uncertainty, entrepreneurship: what we take for granted deserves a second look.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues24Founded5 years agoLast Issue4 months ago
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Latest Issues

The real lesson from Ukraine: in uncertainty, strategy is a matter of models.

Sticking to an outdated worldview is a universal risk, especially in times of rapid change, and one of the most dangerous. The war in Ukraine is a striking example of this. In just a few years, the battlefield has undergone a complete reinv...

4 months ago

Is ambition possible in uncertainty?

We live in uncertain times. The future seems unclear due to climate change, geopolitics, and technological change. Faced with this uncertainty, many people give up on making plans. Any ambition seems impossible. Why aim high when everything...

4 months ago

In uncertainty, be vulnerable

I recently spoke with a disillusioned executive from a large industrial company. Concerned about the growing uncertainty, his boss centralized decision-making and now requires detailed validation of all decisions, even operational ones. Mid...

4 months ago

The pilot in the plane

The more uncertain the world becomes, the more anxious we grow and the harder we try to predict. It’s a paradox with no way out. The key to uncertainty is not prediction, which is dangerous, but control. This general attitude implies seven...

4 months ago
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6

Beyond stoicism: charting your course through uncertainty

How should we face a world we cannot control? When uncertainty looms—whether in our careers, relationships, or the broader chaos of modern life—the instinct is often to seek shelter in time-tested wisdom. Stoicism, with its promise of inner...

4 months ago
2

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  • Philippe Silberzahn

    Former tech entrepreneur, now academic. I work with the leadership teams of large organizations engaged in transformation efforts when confronted to disruptions and uncertainty. I write about leadership, strategy and change.

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