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Welcome to Uncertainty

Philippe Silberzahn

My articles unpack an invisible mental model - the one that shapes our decisions without us even realizing it. Disruptive innovation, transformation, uncertainty, entrepreneurship: what we take for granted deserves a second look.

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesWeekly
Issues47Founded5 years agoLast Issue8 days ago
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Latest Issues

No Transformation Without Truth: Why Kindness Can Prevent Change

We readily associate change with listening, empathy, and kindness. But when these qualities lead us to accept, without questioning them, the explanations that justify inaction, they become counterproductive. Transformation also requires the...

8 days ago

AI: When Production Becomes Easy, Verification Becomes Strategic

On September 25, the Académie Goncourt, which awards France’s most prestigious literary prize, removed C’était ça ou mourir (roughly, “It Was That or Die”) from its first-round selection. The novel was published by Grasset, one of France’s...

15 days ago

Questioning Your Models: A Lesson from Contemporary Art for Managing Under Uncertainty

In November 2024, a banana taped to a wall with silver duct tape sold for $5.2 million at Sotheby’s in New York. The work, Comedian, by Maurizio Cattelan, had been shown five years earlier at Art Basel Miami. The banana itself had been boug...

22 days ago
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The Weaver and the Leader: Plato on Complexity and Uncertainty

Anyone who has taken an introductory philosophy class remembers at least Plato’s Allegory of the Cave: the visible world is made of shadows, and the philosopher is the one who escapes from it to contemplate the light of the Forms. This is t...

a month ago
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Why Strategic Surprises Happen: Lessons from 9/11

On September 11, 2001, the world watched in disbelief as two planes crashed into the towers of the World Trade Center in New York in one of the most spectacular terrorist attacks ever witnessed.

Behind the immense human tragedy, whose geop...

a month ago
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  • Philippe Silberzahn

    Former tech entrepreneur, now academic. I work with the leadership teams of large organizations engaged in transformation efforts when confronted to disruptions and uncertainty. I write about leadership, strategy and change in uncertainty.

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