50¢ Dollars
Adhi Rajaprabhakaran, Chris Dierkes, Noah Zingler-SternigA newsletter about prediction markets by a pro prediction market trader.
| Platform |  | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Twice weekly |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 30 | Subscribers | Read | fiftycentdollars.substack.com |
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Latest Issues
Recent posts by this newsletter. Browse the email archive.
Minimum Viable Liquidity
Prediction markets are really more of a “glass half full” type of asset class.
Regulatory greenfield
The United States had all of fifteen active futures exchanges in 2019. That was the low point of a decades-long consolidation that had compressed the industry into a duopoly of CME Group and ICE, with a handful of niche survivors on the mar...
Prediction markets don’t bend reality
For five years now, I’ve traversed the same conversation tree hundreds of times. Someone asks: “so, what do you do?” I tell them, “I bet on politics for a living.” The distribution of responses to this are polarized and bimodal.
Inside Job
It could have been called the “Dan Aykroyd Rule” just as well, but alas.
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Authors
The writers behind this newsletter.
Prediction market trader for 5 years, 3 of them for Kalshi. Washed and writing commentary now.
I am a prediction markets expert and Kalshi’s former Head of Operations. Follow me on X where I am active!
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