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Adjacent Press

Lucas, Mike S.

Daily, Weekly and Opinion Prediction Market News

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Substack
PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues317Founded3 years agoLast Issue5 days ago
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Latest Issues

7.17.2026 — SpaceX scrubs Starship launch

Good morning! For the 6th night in a row, strikes continued across Iran, which we cover in the Strait of Hormuz section. Big news out of SpaceX as they postpone the highly anticipated Starship launch that was set for today. Markets are hopi...

5 days ago
3

The AIRPORTDELAY Certification

We reported that Kalshi self-certified AIRPORTDELAY

With almost 4m impressions at the time of writing there were 3 types of responses

  1. This is terrible and prediction markets have gone to far (90% of responses)

  2. The Seinfeld e...

6 days ago
7

7.16.2026 — Burnham Cabinet Almost Confirmed

Good morning! Outside of the raging Iran war, which we cover in the Strait of Hormuz section, the biggest news of the day comes from the UK. After weeks of speculation, Andy Burnham teased his cabinet picks by leaking some rumors to the pre...

6 days ago
5

7.15.2026 — Show Must Go On

Source: CENTCOM

Good morning! As the title says, show must go on—the Iran war is heating up again. At 6AM this morning, CENTCOM announced a new wave of strikes, aiming to limit the IRGC’s ability to target shipping in the Strait of Hormuz....

7 days ago
4

7.14.2026 — Blocked

Source: Britannica

Good morning! We are not slowing down. We saw plenty of news on Monday, especially around the Iran war. We cover the latest developments in the Strait of Hormuz section, where markets are beginning to price a significant...

8 days ago
5

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