
Daily, Weekly and Opinion Prediction Market News
| Platform | Pricing | Only free issues | Publishes | Daily | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Issues | 362 | Founded | 3 years ago | Last Issue | 4 days ago |
| Active | |||||

Today we introduce our first set of indexes into the Sports Family. The NFL Team Index (NTI) is a market-driven, forward looking index of team futures for each season. It is not a power-ranking or forecast but rather an index of team future...
Good morning! We have a new leader… well, sort of. OpenAI released Astra, claiming outrageous improvement over not only GPT-5.6, but also Fable. We’ll see about that—in the meantime, we try to understand when it will be available for testin...
Kevin Warsh
Good morning! We start with a short midterms update, where Texas has moved back toward Republicans, despite a series of favorable polls for Talarico. Then we shift to the war report, where both the Iran and Ukraine conflicts ar...
Good morning! War and AI have dominated the news this year and today is no different—4 out of 5 markets in our brief touch one of the two. The lone midterms market is the first we cover—this time our focus is on the gubernatorial races.
In...
Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...
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I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research
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