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Adjacent Press

Lucas, Mike S., Jeff

Daily, Weekly and Opinion Prediction Market News

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PricingOnly free issuesPublishesDaily
Issues362Founded3 years agoLast Issue4 days ago
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Latest Issues

Launching NFL Team Indices

Today we introduce our first set of indexes into the Sports Family. The NFL Team Index (NTI) is a market-driven, forward looking index of team futures for each season. It is not a power-ranking or forecast but rather an index of team future...

4 days ago
4

9.4.2026 — Astra?

Good morning! We have a new leader… well, sort of. OpenAI released Astra, claiming outrageous improvement over not only GPT-5.6, but also Fable. We’ll see about that—in the meantime, we try to understand when it will be available for testin...

4 days ago
4

9.3.2026 — Indecisive Fed

Kevin Warsh

Good morning! We start with a short midterms update, where Texas has moved back toward Republicans, despite a series of favorable polls for Talarico. Then we shift to the war report, where both the Iran and Ukraine conflicts ar...

5 days ago
3

9.2.2026 — War & AI

Good morning! War and AI have dominated the news this year and today is no different—4 out of 5 markets in our brief touch one of the two. The lone midterms market is the first we cover—this time our focus is on the gubernatorial races.

In...

6 days ago
3

Global Outlook: Strike Back

Welcome to another week! For the new readers: every week I comment on the top prediction markets—selected by volume, volatility and surprising resolutions—across (geo)politics, elections, macro, tech and science. Markets first, news through...

7 days ago
4

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  • Mike S.

    I’m on a mission to change the way you understand the news | 884% Return on Polymarket in 2Y | Geopolitics | Economy | Your favorite whale is trading on my research

  • Jeff

    building indices at Adjacent.markets

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